Sat, Oct 18, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Calgary Flames 1, Vegas Golden Knights 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
9%
32%
VGK winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kadri–Huberdeau–Farabee | Lomberg–Zary–Klapka | Frost–Sharangovich–Coronato | Backlund–Coleman–Honzek | Frost–Sharangovich–Honzek | Backlund–Coleman–Coronato | Weegar–Hanley | Andersson–Bean | Andersson–Bahl | Bean–Parekh | Bahl–Parekh | Weegar–Bean | Bean–Bahl | Andersson–Parekh | Weegar–Parekh | Hanley–Parekh | Hanley–Andersson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smith–Karlsson–Holtz | 1:220.00–0.04 | 2:570.21–0.17 | 1:310.00–0.06 | 1:540.13–0.06 | 1:230.13–0.00 | 3:030.12–0.12 | 1:530.02–0.22 | 2:440.38–0.05 | 1:170.09–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:450.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Hertl–Marner–Dorofeyev | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 4:420.07–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 5:550.01–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:020.01–0.01 | 0:400.10–0.00 | |||||||||
| Saad–Sissons–Kolesar | 3:190.06–0.28 | 2:040.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.06 | 1:280.00–0.41 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 0:540.06–0.02 | 2:000.00–0.06 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Stone–Barbashev–Eichel | 4:010.17–0.19 | 0:450.00–0.03 | 0:420.16–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:490.18–0.03 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 2:410.27–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.17 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Barbashev–Eichel–Marner | 0:410.26–0.00 | 0:310.26–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Barbashev–Eichel–Dorofeyev | 1:280.05–0.06 | 0:540.00–0.06 | 0:300.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Hertl–Barbashev–Marner | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Saad–Hertl–Marner | 0:530.13–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.18 | |||||||||||||||
| Saad–Karlsson–Kolesar | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Hertl–Dorofeyev–Holtz | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| McNabb–Theodore | 8:280.23–0.09 | 1:190.00–0.07 | 1:590.00–0.05 | 2:030.04–0.01 | 5:530.02–0.17 | 2:140.00–0.00 | 2:580.17–0.07 | 1:480.06–0.03 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:380.03–0.03 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:570.04–0.00 | ||||
| Lauzon–Korczak | 1:460.18–0.07 | 4:000.05–0.05 | 0:460.00–0.06 | 1:570.19–0.01 | 1:290.02–0.15 | 0:580.09–0.00 | 2:590.00–0.15 | 3:280.07–0.09 | 2:320.28–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.06 | 1:380.14–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||
| Hutton–Whitecloud | 1:070.00–0.26 | 3:080.46–0.15 | 1:530.18–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.01 | 1:560.12–0.01 | 1:040.13–0.07 | 4:440.28–0.31 | 1:100.00–0.12 | 2:280.38–0.00 | 2:230.13–0.07 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:330.02–0.00 | |||||
| Hutton–Korczak | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Hutton–Theodore | |||||||||||||||||
| Lauzon–Whitecloud | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
VGKCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 32 | 24:00 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 3 | 6 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 32 | 23:06 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 5 | 7 |
 Shea TheodoreVGK | 29 | 22:34 | 0:47 | 2:48 | 5 | 4 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 29 | 19:30 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 1 | 6 |
 Joel HanleyCGY | 31 | 18:55 | 0:37 | 1:30 | 1 | 5 |
 Jake BeanCGY | 29 | 18:52 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 1 | 2 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 23 | 18:48 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 5 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerVGK | 22 | 18:17 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 8 | 1 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 23 | 18:15 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 5 | 4 |
 Zach WhitecloudVGK | 24 | 18:04 | 0:45 | 1:42 | 3 | 2 |
 Kaedan KorczakVGK | 24 | 18:01 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Jeremy LauzonVGK | 25 | 17:58 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Zayne ParekhCGY | 28 | 17:50 | 0:38 | 1:31 | 3 | 1 |
 Kevin BahlCGY | 26 | 17:41 | 0:41 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Ben HuttonVGK | 27 | 17:30 | 0:39 | 1:28 | 5 | 1 |
 Connor ZaryCGY | 20 | 16:52 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 22 | 16:32 | 0:45 | 1:48 | 7 | 1 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 23 | 16:08 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 4 | 4 |
 William KarlssonVGK | 18 | 16:06 | 0:54 | 1:42 | 0 | 3 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 23 | 15:53 | 0:41 | 1:34 | 4 | 2 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 21 | 15:46 | 0:45 | 1:43 | 7 | 0 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 22 | 15:23 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 1 | 6 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 19 | 15:09 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 5 | 2 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 18 | 15:03 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 4 | 2 |
 Brandon SaadVGK | 22 | 15:01 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 4 | 3 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 17 | 15:00 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 1 | 2 |
 Reilly SmithVGK | 16 | 14:20 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 0 | 2 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 18 | 14:13 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexander HoltzVGK | 17 | 14:08 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 0 | 3 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 20 | 13:14 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 3 | 4 |
 Mark StoneVGK | 20 | 13:12 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 5 | 4 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 20 | 13:03 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 1 | 6 |
 Adam KlapkaCGY | 17 | 12:52 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |
 Samuel HonzekCGY | 18 | 12:51 | 0:43 | 1:02 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan LombergCGY | 16 | 12:18 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 0 | 1 |
 Colton SissonsVGK | 16 | 11:28 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 4 | 3 |