Tue, Oct 21, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New Jersey Devils 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
34%
8%
50%
TOR winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23:06 | 0.03 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.09 | 76.0% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.19 | 78.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.14 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:27 | 0.00 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 18:53 | 0.78 | 60.7% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.36 | 71.7% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 1.03 | 91.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.06 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.18 | 22.2% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.22 | 61.1% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 | 0.00 | 22.3% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.06 | 43.3% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 12:19 | 0.29 | 22.9% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.07 | 31.9% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:51 | 0.27 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 3.27 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:30 | 0.09 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:02 | 0.02 | 76.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:51 | 0.30 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.07 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.67 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.02 | 78.4% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.07 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:40 | 0.46 | 78.2% | +29.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.40 | 78.8% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.07 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.59 | 86.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.06 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.01 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.23 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:26 | 0.21 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:57 | 0.00 | 8.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.31 | −0.7 | 58:19 |