Tue, Oct 21, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Vancouver Canucks 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.
53%
32%
PIT winsVAN wins
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:41 | 0.30 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:52 | 0.03 | 54.3% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:04 | 0.01 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.07 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.14 | 41.6% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.10 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.26 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.20 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.23 | 45.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.10 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.07 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:19 | 0.99 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:01 | 0.09 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.11 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.08 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:32 | 0.36 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 3.85 | −1.2 | 59:48 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:33 | 0.06 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:24 | 0.00 | 48.0% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.57 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.20 | 53.1% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.17 | 58.8% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.03 | 55.9% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:38 | 0.89 | 46.3% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.06 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.12 | 24.1% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:24 | 0.29 | 23.5% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.42 | 50.8% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.09 | 90.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:21 | 0.39 | 92.5% | +25.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 11:50 | 0.23 | 44.9% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:40 | 0.32 | 77.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 3.15 | +2.2 | 59:52 |