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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Colorado Avalanche 4 (SO)

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 77% of the time.

COL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:56Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 0:57Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wedgewood
  5. P1 0:58Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wedgewood
  6. P1 3:07Goal by Robinson (Kotkaniemi, Reilly)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Makar, Kelly, Brindley · CAR Walker, Robinson, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov, Nikishin

  7. P1 4:04Goal by Nichushkin, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · CAR Aho, Walker, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  8. P1 4:19Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:24Shot by Blake, saved by Wedgewood
  10. P1 5:32Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Wedgewood
  11. P1 5:45Shot by Bardakov, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 5:46Shot by Brindley, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 5:50Legault: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Bardakov, Brindley · CAR Robinson, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov, Nikishin, Legault

  14. P1 5:54Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  15. P1 7:17Goal by Jarvis, unassisted5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Landeskog, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Brindley · CAR Reilly, Aho, Jarvis, Nikishin

  16. P1 8:46Shot by Toews, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 9:46Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 9:47Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 9:51Shot by Malinski, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 10:32Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 11:46Shot by Bardakov, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 12:38Shot by Ehlers, saved by Wedgewood
  23. P1 12:41Goal by Aho (Ehlers, Jarvis)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Solovyov · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Jarvis, Nikishin, Legault

  24. P1 12:57Shot by Landeskog, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 13:09Shot by Manson, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 13:15Shot by Burns, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 13:29Shot by Reilly, saved by Wedgewood
  28. P1 13:40Goal by Stankoven (Blake, Hall)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · CAR Hall, Chatfield, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake

  29. P1 13:57Shot by Chatfield, saved by Miner
  30. P1 16:45Shot by Drury, saved by Andersen
  31. P1 17:24Shot by Kelly, saved by Andersen
  32. P1 19:57Shot by Brindley, saved by Andersen
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:47Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 1:48Shot by Necas, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 1:58Nikishin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Olofsson · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Jarvis, Nikishin, Legault

  38. P2 2:28Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  39. P2 3:59Shot by Martinook, saved by Miner
  40. P2 4:46Goal by Kelly (Malinski, Colton)+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Colton, Kelly, Drury, Malinski · CAR Hall, Reilly, Stankoven, Blake, Nystrom

  41. P2 4:46Svechnikov: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Colton, Kelly, Drury, Malinski · CAR Hall, Reilly, Stankoven, Blake, Nystrom

  42. P2 5:24Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  43. P2 5:38Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  44. P2 5:39Shot by Necas, saved by Andersen5v4
  45. P2 7:00Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 7:37Shot by Colton, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 7:49Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 7:51Shot by Makar, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 8:15Hall: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar · CAR Staal, Hall, Reilly, Martinook, Chatfield

  50. P2 9:24Shot by Legault, saved by Miner5v4
  51. P2 10:58Shot by Chatfield, saved by Miner
  52. P2 12:33Nelson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · CAR Walker, Robinson, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov, Legault

  53. P2 13:28Shot by Makar, saved by Andersen4v5
  54. P2 13:44Shot by Manson, saved by Andersen4v5
  55. P2 15:04Shot by Robinson, saved by Miner
  56. P2 15:41Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 16:43Shot by Nystrom, saved by Miner
  58. P2 17:49Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 18:39Legault: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar, Brindley · CAR Staal, Reilly, Martinook, Kotkaniemi, Legault

  60. P2 18:44Shot by Makar, saved by Andersen5v4
  61. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:23Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen5v4
  64. P3 0:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen5v4
  65. P3 1:20Shot by Legault, saved by Miner
  66. P3 1:30Shot by Nikishin, saved by Miner
  67. P3 2:01Malinski: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Colton, Kelly, Drury, Malinski · CAR Hall, Stankoven, Blake, Nystrom, Legault

  68. P3 2:27Shot by Burns, saved by Andersen4v5
  69. P3 3:03Shot by Jarvis, saved by Miner4v5
  70. P3 4:21Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 4:28Shot by Toews, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 4:45Goal by Necas (Lehkonen, MacKinnon)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · CAR Staal, Martinook, Chatfield, Jarvis, Nystrom

  73. P3 5:11Shot by Hall, saved by Miner
  74. P3 5:14Kelly: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Colton, Kelly, Drury, Solovyov, Malinski · CAR Hall, Walker, Stankoven, Blake, Legault

  75. P3 5:14Hall: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Colton, Kelly, Drury, Solovyov, Malinski · CAR Hall, Walker, Stankoven, Blake, Legault

  76. P3 5:46Shot by Chatfield, saved by Miner4v4
  77. P3 6:45Shot by Blake, saved by Miner4v4
  78. P3 6:59Chatfield: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · CAR Reilly, Chatfield, Stankoven, Blake

  79. P3 11:28Shot by Walker, saved by Miner
  80. P3 12:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  81. P3 13:02Shot by Solovyov, saved by Andersen
  82. P3 13:18Aho: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Olofsson, Colton, Drury, Solovyov, Malinski · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Chatfield, Jarvis, Legault

  83. P3 14:04Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  84. P3 14:09Goal by Nichushkin (Olofsson, Makar)5v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Necas, Makar · CAR Staal, Martinook, Walker, Nystrom

  85. P3 16:01Nichushkin: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Toews, Malinski · CAR Ehlers, Chatfield, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake

  86. P3 16:13Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Miner4v5
  87. P3 17:45Drury: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Toews, Kelly, Drury · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Walker, Jarvis, Blake

  88. P3 17:45Walker: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Toews, Kelly, Drury · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Walker, Jarvis, Blake

  89. P3 18:01Shot by Chatfield, saved by Miner4v5
  90. P3 18:13Nelson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Toews, Kelly, Malinski · CAR Staal, Reilly, Martinook, Chatfield, Svechnikov

  91. P3 18:26Shot by Nystrom, saved by Miner4v5
  92. P3 19:23Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen4v5
  93. P3 19:45Shot by Nikishin, saved by Miner4v5
  94. P3 19:47Shot by Hall, saved by Miner4v5
  95. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  96. OT 0:00Period start
  97. OT 1:16Shot by Toews, saved by Andersen4v4
  98. OT 1:36Necas: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Burns, Lehkonen, Necas, Malinski · CAR Hall, Chatfield, Blake, Nystrom

  99. OT 2:30Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Miner3v4
  100. OT 3:08Shot by Ehlers, saved by Miner3v4
  101. OT 3:44Stankoven: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Nichushkin, Toews, Necas, Makar · CAR Walker, Stankoven, Blake, Nystrom

  102. OT 4:11Shot by Makar, saved by Andersen4v3
  103. OT 4:53Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen4v3
  104. OT 5:00Period end4v3
  105. SO Period start
  106. SO Goal by Jarvis, unassistedother
  107. SO Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersenother
  108. SO Shot by Necas, saved by Andersenother
  109. SO Shot by Blake, saved by Minerother
  110. SO Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersenother
  111. SO Period endother
  112. SO Finalother