Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Colorado Avalanche 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 77% of the time.
71%
17%
COL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:16 | 0.01 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.02 | 36.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:05 | 0.05 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23:01 | 0.87 | 40.8% | +29.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.20 | 36.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.07 | 46.2% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.23 | 56.8% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.05 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.17 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.30 | 53.9% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.17 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.11 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.18 | 41.1% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.09 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.01 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.04 | 6.8% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 7:38 | 0.07 | 13.9% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:16 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 48 | 44 | 4 | .917 | 4.54 | +0.5 | 65:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:30 | 0.47 | 59.7% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 25:25 | 0.37 | 54.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:07 | 0.10 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 22:05 | 0.79 | 68.2% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:55 | 0.02 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:25 | 0.47 | 60.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.42 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 19:57 | 0.43 | 39.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.16 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.08 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14:45 | 0.56 | 96.3% | +27.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.12 | 79.6% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.02 | 63.2% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.15 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:17 | 0.13 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.08 | 50.2% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:13 | 0.03 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:24 | 0.16 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 11 | 7 | 4 | .636 | 1.30 | −2.7 | 13:40 | |
| O | 20 | 20 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.34 | +1.3 | 51:20 |