Fri, Oct 24, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Calgary Flames 3, Winnipeg Jets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 54% of the time.
45%
9%
8%
38%
WPG winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 25:30 | 0.01 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:35 | 0.22 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:39 | 0.58 | 57.3% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.02 | 51.1% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:37 | 0.52 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.20 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.00 | 65.7% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.39 | 80.7% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.08 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:42 | 0.44 | 88.5% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.10 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.07 | 90.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.17 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:16 | 0.51 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.11 | 85.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.00 | 48.7% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:40 | 0.08 | 95.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:27 | 0.00 | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.97 | −1.0 | 58:29 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 26:13 | 0.25 | 39.6% | +55.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:37 | 0.19 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23:40 | 0.51 | 41.7% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:54 | 0.32 | 41.9% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.01 | 55.7% | +17.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 18:56 | 0.21 | 34.7% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.04 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.78 | 30.4% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:44 | 1.01 | 81.1% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.03 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.03 | 20.8% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.11 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.05 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.08 | 39.9% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:20 | 0.12 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 6.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.52 | +0.5 | 60:00 |