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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

St. Louis Blues 4, Detroit Red Wings 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.

DET winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Buchnevich–Walker–SuterThomas–Neighbours–SnuggerudSchenn–Joseph–KyrouBjugstad–Sundqvist–HollowaySchenn–Kyrou–HollowayBjugstad–Sundqvist–JosephSchenn–Neighbours–SnuggerudBuchnevich–Suter–SnuggerudFowler–ParaykoFaulk–BrobergTucker–KesselParayko–BrobergBroberg–KesselFaulk–TuckerFaulk–KesselFowler–KesselFaulk–Parayko
Larkin–Raymond–Finnie0:430.12–0.000:450.00–0.092:040.19–0.031:330.03–0.300:320.00–0.461:010.00–0.015:080.29–0.252:500.19–0.710:350.03–0.000:390.00–0.00
Appleton–DeBrincat–Kasper1:220.00–0.000:470.00–0.250:340.00–0.000:550.05–0.001:060.00–0.002:410.11–0.250:540.00–0.00
Copp–Compher–Berggren0:330.00–0.000:530.00–0.201:220.00–0.001:370.00–0.001:280.00–0.200:380.00–0.00
DeBrincat–Raymond–Kasper1:250.00–0.230:400.00–0.001:150.07–0.000:400.00–0.00
Copp–Compher–Appleton0:340.14–0.000:340.12–0.000:490.12–0.001:080.14–0.07
Larkin–Appleton–Finnie0:470.00–0.050:420.00–0.160:330.00–0.000:350.00–0.050:420.00–0.16
van Riemsdyk–Copp–Compher0:390.00–0.011:370.00–0.01
Copp–Compher–Brandsegg-Nygård0:530.00–0.001:280.00–0.110:310.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–DeBrincat–Kasper0:590.04–0.000:300.02–0.001:000.03–0.000:590.04–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Berggren–Kasper0:520.00–0.100:490.00–0.10
Berggren–Kasper–Brandsegg-Nygård0:580.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Compher–Appleton–Kasper1:030.12–0.00
DeBrincat–Berggren–Kasper0:550.02–0.380:560.02–0.38
Seider–Edvinsson1:580.14–0.380:530.04–0.000:310.00–0.141:260.03–0.003:410.15–0.522:330.16–0.000:390.00–0.00
Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka1:510.14–0.101:100.03–0.000:470.00–0.250:390.00–0.001:380.06–0.002:030.00–0.251:520.19–0.000:310.00–0.000:430.00–0.10
Hamonic–Johansson0:390.00–0.000:560.00–0.020:490.00–0.070:520.00–0.152:150.00–0.161:130.00–0.00
Bernard-Docker–Edvinsson1:270.00–0.250:450.00–0.120:560.00–0.200:320.00–0.001:010.00–0.011:250.00–0.21
Bernard-Docker–Johansson0:540.00–0.000:360.02–0.000:340.03–0.001:380.00–0.011:320.02–0.460:320.00–0.00
Chiarot–Seider1:340.00–0.051:110.04–0.162:120.11–0.120:420.00–0.160:430.00–0.00
Hamonic–Chiarot0:300.30–0.000:420.12–0.001:220.24–0.000:450.19–0.001:020.12–0.00
Seider–Johansson1:140.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Edvinsson–Sandin-Pellikka0:390.00–0.090:480.04–0.160:540.04–0.000:520.00–0.25
Chiarot–Bernard-Docker0:580.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Hamonic–Edvinsson0:310.00–0.00
Chiarot–Edvinsson0:480.10–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCopp FBrandsegg-Nygård FCompher FLarkin FAppleton FFinnie FRaymond FKasper FDeBrincat Fvan Riemsdyk FBerggren FBernard-Docker DEdvinsson DChiarot DSeider DJohansson DHamonic DSandin-Pellikka DGibson GSundqvist FBjugstad FHolloway FBuchnevich FWalker FSuter FThomas FNeighbours FSnuggerud FSchenn FJoseph FKyrou FBroberg DFaulk DParayko DFowler DKessel DTucker DBinnington G
DETSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Colton ParaykoSTL2825:170:542:1336
Justin FaulkSTL3024:550:501:4941
Cam FowlerSTL2623:420:552:1525
Dylan LarkinDET2521:580:531:3216
Philip BrobergSTL2921:500:451:3013
Moritz SeiderDET2421:170:532:0243
Ben ChiarotDET2621:140:491:2505
Simon EdvinssonDET2520:170:492:0424
Lucas RaymondDET2220:160:551:4231
Marco KasperDET2519:590:481:3214
Emmitt FinnieDET2119:490:571:4032
Dylan HollowaySTL2218:590:522:0533
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2418:420:471:2883
Alex DeBrincatDET2018:060:541:2823
Pius SuterSTL2217:190:471:3232
J.T. CompherDET2617:160:402:0211
Brayden SchennSTL2017:130:521:5022
Mason AppletonDET2116:360:471:5014
Andrew CoppDET2616:320:381:1213
Jordan KyrouSTL2015:420:472:0031
Nathan WalkerSTL1915:300:491:2731
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL2115:120:431:1332
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET1913:560:441:4824
Jake NeighboursSTL2013:550:421:2370
Albert JohanssonDET2213:440:370:5911
Oskar SundqvistSTL2013:290:401:3313
Mathieu JosephSTL1813:160:441:1421
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET2012:580:391:5023
Robert ThomasSTL1712:210:441:2652
Jonatan BerggrenDET1711:450:411:1411
Travis HamonicDET1811:160:381:1303
James van RiemsdykDET1410:010:431:1312
Nick BjugstadSTL199:350:300:5012
Tyler TuckerSTL169:200:350:5911
Matthew KesselSTL128:330:431:1020
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdDET96:370:441:0211