Sat, Oct 25, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Dallas Stars 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 65% of the time.
58%
27%
DAL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ehlers–Aho–Jarvis | Hall–Stankoven–Blake | Staal–Martinook–Svechnikov | Jankowski–Kotkaniemi–Nadeau | Hall–Aho–Jarvis | Staal–Martinook–Kotkaniemi | Chatfield–Walker | Nikishin–Nystrom | Reilly–Legault | Reilly–Nystrom | Nikishin–Legault | Chatfield–Nikishin | Walker–Nystrom | Walker–Nikishin | Reilly–Chatfield | Reilly–Walker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robertson–Bourque–Johnston | 1:350.08–0.07 | 2:530.03–0.00 | 0:520.15–0.16 | 1:390.55–0.09 | 3:360.26–0.03 | 1:160.70–0.13 | 1:040.03–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.09 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Rantanen–Hintz–Steel | 4:320.17–0.18 | 2:330.07–0.17 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 3:510.48–0.15 | 1:320.00–0.06 | 1:330.13–0.11 | ||||||||||
| Seguin–Blackwell–Erne | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.01 | 3:230.01–0.06 | 2:050.02–0.14 | 1:230.00–0.09 | 2:300.02–0.01 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.05 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.01 | ||||||
| Faksa–Bastian–Hryckowian | 0:460.00–0.03 | 1:320.10–0.13 | 1:500.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:340.10–0.25 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Faksa–Bourque–Hryckowian | 0:430.00–0.09 | 0:420.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||
| Faksa–Rantanen–Steel | 0:440.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||
| Seguin–Rantanen–Hintz | 0:480.09–0.03 | 0:490.09–0.03 | ||||||||||||||
| Rantanen–Steel–Johnston | ||||||||||||||||
| Rantanen–Robertson–Johnston | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Lyubushkin–Harley | 1:250.13–0.00 | 4:110.03–0.07 | 3:360.00–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.11 | 2:590.00–0.13 | 2:050.00–0.00 | 1:260.13–0.09 | 1:340.03–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.21 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||
| Lindell–Heiskanen | 5:470.19–0.16 | 2:220.07–0.00 | 1:120.20–0.21 | 0:330.75–0.00 | 3:140.48–0.07 | 1:120.20–0.16 | 0:530.13–0.03 | 1:140.00–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:350.07–0.00 | 1:030.32–0.01 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||
| Petrovic–Bichsel | 1:230.00–0.08 | 1:180.00–0.32 | 2:090.09–0.05 | 4:420.10–0.12 | 2:450.00–0.08 | 2:460.10–0.14 | 2:030.00–0.18 | 1:120.09–0.08 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Heiskanen–Harley | 1:360.08–0.15 | 1:050.15–0.08 | 1:050.08–0.00 | 0:440.05–0.08 | 0:380.10–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Lindell–Lyubushkin | 0:480.05–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:420.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Lyubushkin–Bichsel | 0:500.00–0.09 | 0:460.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||
| Heiskanen–Lyubushkin | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Lindell–Harley | ||||||||||||||||
| Petrovic–Harley | 0:380.00–0.08 | 0:320.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DALCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Sean WalkerCAR | 30 | 25:46 | 0:52 | 2:19 | 5 | 4 |
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 30 | 25:16 | 0:51 | 2:09 | 4 | 4 |
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 24 | 24:19 | 1:01 | 3:16 | 4 | 4 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 29 | 22:29 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 4 | 7 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 26 | 22:08 | 0:51 | 2:43 | 5 | 4 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 28 | 21:16 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Mikko RantanenDAL | 25 | 21:03 | 0:51 | 2:13 | 6 | 3 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 28 | 20:50 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 2 | 5 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 24 | 20:23 | 0:51 | 1:58 | 2 | 5 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 23 | 19:49 | 0:52 | 2:07 | 7 | 4 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 23 | 18:56 | 0:49 | 2:31 | 1 | 6 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 21 | 18:33 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 9 | 1 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 25 | 18:26 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 6 | 4 |
 Joel NystromCAR | 26 | 17:57 | 0:41 | 1:43 | 4 | 4 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 19 | 16:44 | 0:53 | 1:45 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyler SeguinDAL | 24 | 16:28 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 5 | 4 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 20 | 16:25 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 5 | 2 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 21 | 16:24 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 |
 Roope HintzDAL | 20 | 15:20 | 0:46 | 2:28 | 4 | 4 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 17 | 15:15 | 0:54 | 1:56 | 4 | 4 |
 Mike ReillyCAR | 24 | 15:00 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 0 | 5 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 21 | 14:44 | 0:42 | 1:01 | 4 | 7 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 22 | 14:35 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 7 | 2 |
 Lian BichselDAL | 14 | 14:13 | 1:01 | 4:46 | 3 | 3 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 20 | 14:12 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 4 | 6 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 20 | 14:10 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 4 | 1 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 20 | 13:37 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 2 | 7 |
 Bradly NadeauCAR | 17 | 12:39 | 0:45 | 2:01 | 5 | 2 |
 Alexander PetrovicDAL | 12 | 12:11 | 1:01 | 4:49 | 2 | 2 |
 Radek FaksaDAL | 19 | 11:39 | 0:37 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Adam ErneDAL | 18 | 11:28 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 2 | 3 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 18 | 11:16 | 0:38 | 1:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 15 | 10:05 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Charles Alexis LegaultCAR | 16 | 9:58 | 0:37 | 0:57 | 1 | 2 |
 Justin HryckowianDAL | 15 | 8:56 | 0:36 | 1:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Nathan BastianDAL | 12 | 6:24 | 0:32 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |