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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 26, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Vegas Golden Knights 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsVGK wins

Vegas Golden Knights

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Shea TheodoreD · #27011−1127:450.0438.2%+19.1
Brayden McNabbD · #30000124:340.0021.6%0.0
Jack EichelC · #9000−1321:410.0834.3%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #93000−1020:210.0031.2%0.0
William KarlssonC · #71101+1218:040.1543.7%+19.1
Jeremy LauzonD · #50000017:490.0954.9%0.0
Pavel DorofeyevRW · #160000216:560.1853.3%0.0
Zach WhitecloudD · #20000016:550.0029.0%0.0
Tomas HertlC · #480000415:580.3334.7%0.0
Kaedan KorczakD · #60000015:220.0357.3%0.0
Ivan BarbashevLW · #490000215:050.3314.2%0.0
Brett HowdenC · #21000−2015:000.0052.1%0.0
Reilly SmithRW · #19011+1014:190.0656.0%+19.1
Ben HuttonD · #170000112:580.0023.4%0.0
Brandon SaadLW · #200000011:330.0037.8%0.0
Alexander HoltzRW · #26000+1110:410.2458.8%0.0
Keegan KolesarRW · #55000019:200.0082.8%0.0
Colton SissonsC · #10000−117:150.1246.2%0.0
Carl Lindbom#30O28262.9292.59+0.660:32

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GuentzelC · #59011+1523:080.6069.9%+13.1
J.J. MoserD · #90000+1122:150.0257.3%0.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #861010222:070.2472.4%+50.9
Victor HedmanD · #77011+1221:310.1158.6%+13.1
Brandon HagelLW · #38112+2519:240.4581.7%+64.0
Anthony CirelliC · #71000+1118:550.2179.9%0.0
Ryan McDonaghD · #270000118:370.0072.1%0.0
Erik CernakD · #810000117:410.0674.5%0.0
Brayden PointC · #21000−1117:120.2534.2%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000015:490.0029.6%0.0
Yanni GourdeC · #370000215:380.0723.5%0.0
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #220000315:180.3845.8%0.0
Emil LillebergD · #780000012:410.0071.7%0.0
Gage GoncalvesC · #930000112:400.0649.6%0.0
Dominic JamesC · #17000−1112:340.1150.2%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000110:490.0217.2%0.0
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51000−1010:360.0028.8%0.0
Darren RaddyshD · #43000018:410.0123.5%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W19181.9471.66+0.760:32