Sun, Oct 26, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Vegas Golden Knights 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
10%
23%
TBL winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:45 | 0.04 | 38.2% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:34 | 0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.08 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.15 | 43.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.09 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.18 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:58 | 0.33 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.03 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.33 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.06 | 56.0% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.24 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:20 | 0.00 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:15 | 0.12 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.59 | +0.6 | 60:32 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:08 | 0.60 | 69.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.02 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.24 | 72.4% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.11 | 58.6% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 19:24 | 0.45 | 81.7% | +64.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.21 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.00 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.06 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.25 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.07 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.38 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.06 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.11 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.02 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:36 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.01 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 1.66 | +0.7 | 60:32 |