VGK 1 @ TBL 2 · Oct 26, 2025

Sun, Oct 26, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

58%

10%

23%

TBL winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Smith–Karlsson–Holtz	Hertl–Marner–Dorofeyev	Saad–Barbashev–Eichel	Sissons–Kolesar–Howden	Barbashev–Eichel–Howden	Hertl–Barbashev–Dorofeyev	Saad–Kolesar–Howden	Smith–Barbashev–Eichel	Saad–Barbashev–Howden	McNabb–Theodore	Lauzon–Korczak	Hutton–Whitecloud	McNabb–Whitecloud
Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg	3:210.01–0.06	0:520.00–0.00		1:210.00–0.00	1:200.00–0.00	0:480.00–0.00				2:580.00–0.00	1:190.02–0.00	3:510.01–0.06
Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James	0:330.01–0.00	1:200.00–0.00	1:100.08–0.00	1:570.02–0.15			0:400.00–0.00		0:380.00–0.00	0:500.00–0.00	3:450.02–0.15	2:520.08–0.00
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point	1:400.00–0.00	3:140.00–0.02	0:380.00–0.00							5:490.08–0.02	1:380.00–0.00
Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel	0:430.00–0.00		0:570.00–0.04		0:320.00–0.00					1:060.24–0.05	1:240.00–0.00	0:320.19–0.00
Girgensons–Cirelli–Hagel		1:140.11–0.00				0:390.00–0.00		0:320.00–0.00		0:320.00–0.00	1:480.11–0.09	0:500.00–0.00
Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel	0:350.07–0.00		1:070.05–0.00							1:210.05–0.00	0:370.02–0.00
Kucherov–Point–Hagel	0:360.00–0.00												0:350.00–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak		2:560.13–0.00	2:000.14–0.01		1:050.00–0.00			0:410.00–0.00		4:540.29–0.04	3:470.15–0.00	1:100.00–0.00
Hedman–Moser	2:210.00–0.00	3:330.00–0.02	1:220.08–0.00			0:560.00–0.00				4:170.08–0.02	2:420.02–0.09	2:170.28–0.00	0:370.00–0.00
Raddysh–Lilleberg	2:230.06–0.00			0:370.00–0.00						2:070.06–0.00	1:040.00–0.00	0:330.00–0.00
D'Astous–Lilleberg	0:320.07–0.00			2:270.02–0.00							1:400.02–0.00	1:310.07–0.00	0:360.00–0.00
McDonagh–Moser		0:480.07–0.00	0:310.00–0.00							1:490.00–0.01		0:500.00–0.00
Moser–Lilleberg	0:400.00–0.06	0:350.00–0.00							0:540.01–0.00		1:000.01–0.00	1:170.00–0.06
Raddysh–D'Astous	0:510.01–0.00											0:500.01–0.00
D'Astous–Moser	0:410.00–0.08

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

TBLVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Shea TheodoreVGK	32	27:45	0:52	3:02	4	11
Brayden McNabbVGK	32	24:34	0:46	1:29	5	11
Jake GuentzelTBL	24	23:08	0:58	2:10	6	1
J.J. MoserTBL	26	22:15	0:51	1:34	1	0
Nikita KucherovTBL	25	22:07	0:53	2:10	9	2
Jack EichelVGK	25	21:41	0:52	2:10	5	3
Victor HedmanTBL	25	21:31	0:52	1:31	6	0
Mitch MarnerVGK	23	20:21	0:53	2:41	6	0
Brandon HagelTBL	25	19:24	0:47	1:24	1	5
Anthony CirelliTBL	25	18:55	0:45	2:42	4	5
Ryan McDonaghTBL	27	18:37	0:41	1:35	2	7
William KarlssonVGK	24	18:04	0:45	1:11	0	5
Jeremy LauzonVGK	24	17:49	0:45	1:55	0	1
Erik CernakTBL	26	17:41	0:41	1:17	2	6
Brayden PointTBL	21	17:12	0:49	2:10	9	3
Pavel DorofeyevVGK	18	16:56	0:56	2:41	4	0
Zach WhitecloudVGK	23	16:55	0:44	1:37	1	2
Tomas HertlVGK	18	15:58	0:53	2:06	4	1
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL	22	15:49	0:43	2:13	3	0
Yanni GourdeTBL	18	15:38	0:52	1:40	3	0
Kaedan KorczakVGK	21	15:22	0:44	1:50	0	3
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL	19	15:18	0:48	1:26	5	1
Ivan BarbashevVGK	19	15:05	0:48	1:14	2	3
Brett HowdenVGK	22	15:00	0:41	1:25	0	4
Reilly SmithVGK	19	14:19	0:45	1:13	1	3
Ben HuttonVGK	16	12:58	0:49	1:18	0	3
Emil LillebergTBL	19	12:41	0:40	1:27	2	0
Gage GoncalvesTBL	16	12:40	0:48	1:24	3	1
Dominic JamesTBL	17	12:34	0:44	1:26	4	1
Brandon SaadVGK	17	11:33	0:41	1:23	1	5
Pontus HolmbergTBL	14	10:49	0:46	1:04	4	0
Alexander HoltzVGK	16	10:41	0:40	1:10	1	4
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL	15	10:36	0:42	1:37	1	1
Keegan KolesarVGK	15	9:20	0:37	1:17	1	4
Darren RaddyshTBL	14	8:41	0:37	1:15	5	1
Colton SissonsVGK	12	7:15	0:36	0:53	0	5

Vegas Golden Knights 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)

Who was on the ice

Shift totals