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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 26, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 3, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 70% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Robertson–Bourque–JohnstonSeguin–Rantanen–SteelBlackwell–Erne–HryckowianFaksa–Bastian–BäckBlackwell–Robertson–JohnstonFaksa–Erne–BastianSeguin–Rantanen–BäckLyubushkin–HarleyLindell–HeiskanenPetrovic–BichselLindell–HarleyHeiskanen–HarleyLindell–LyubushkinPetrovic–Harley
McCarron–Smith–Wiesblatt1:190.25–0.002:580.12–0.011:300.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:500.00–0.003:400.23–0.132:290.11–0.001:110.00–0.001:090.03–0.00
Stamkos–Jost–Evangelista0:540.05–0.050:530.00–0.001:580.08–0.001:430.06–0.000:520.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:100.00–0.001:070.00–0.054:070.06–0.001:110.05–0.00
Haula–Marchessault–Bunting1:120.05–0.002:380.00–0.071:180.00–0.072:550.05–0.070:430.00–0.352:360.00–0.07
O'Reilly–Forsberg–Wood4:110.07–0.591:510.00–0.131:070.02–0.004:540.05–0.49
O'Reilly–Marchessault–Forsberg1:300.07–0.000:480.00–0.001:060.14–0.001:330.07–0.00
Stamkos–O'Reilly–Forsberg0:310.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Haula–Marchessault–Forsberg0:390.25–0.001:120.25–0.00
Hague–Wilsby4:520.39–0.461:220.00–0.052:210.00–0.071:110.00–0.011:250.00–0.001:040.00–0.004:410.23–0.124:390.16–0.223:070.00–0.220:490.00–0.15
Skjei–Perbix3:080.15–0.325:420.22–0.090:430.00–0.001:240.00–0.003:330.21–0.084:410.09–0.272:240.08–0.001:420.00–0.111:320.02–0.16
Stastney–Barron0:330.00–0.002:100.08–0.003:140.06–0.000:550.30–0.124:040.12–0.000:500.00–0.003:460.12–0.000:430.15–0.001:010.26–0.12
Skjei–Stastney0:520.00–0.35
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FMcCarron FWiesblatt FO'Reilly FWood FForsberg FBunting FHaula FMarchessault FJost FEvangelista FStamkos FPerbix DSkjei DHague DWilsby DBarron DStastney DAnnunen GSteel FSeguin FRantanen FBourque FRobertson FJohnston FBlackwell FHryckowian FErne FFaksa FBäck FBastian FHeiskanen DLindell DHarley DLyubushkin DBichsel DPetrovic DDeSmith G
NSHDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brady SkjeiNSH2726:200:592:3719
Miro HeiskanenDAL2525:201:013:5183
Thomas HarleyDAL2425:171:032:2312
Jason RobertsonDAL2524:410:592:1581
Esa LindellDAL2522:000:532:3436
Mikko RantanenDAL2421:320:542:5892
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2521:220:511:4633
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2521:210:511:3192
Nick PerbixNSH2420:480:521:5419
Tyler SeguinDAL2420:410:522:5691
Filip ForsbergNSH1920:221:043:2831
Nicolas HagueNSH2620:130:471:2915
Adam WilsbyNSH2420:100:501:2313
Sam SteelDAL2218:100:501:2833
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH1817:270:583:2940
Michael McCarronNSH2517:060:411:3129
Mavrik BourqueDAL2016:220:491:4543
Steven StamkosNSH1816:110:541:4131
Ilya LyubushkinDAL1915:580:502:2014
Spencer StastneyNSH2115:310:441:4660
Cole SmithNSH2314:230:381:1618
Erik HaulaNSH1914:080:451:3832
Justin BarronNSH2314:080:371:1550
Colin BlackwellDAL1712:580:461:1901
Alexander PetrovicDAL1712:500:451:3320
Tyson JostNSH1611:590:451:1202
Lian BichselDAL1811:590:401:3820
Ozzy WiesblattNSH1711:380:411:0024
Justin HryckowianDAL1511:230:461:3412
Luke EvangelistaNSH1310:480:501:2511
Michael BuntingNSH1210:210:521:4020
Radek FaksaDAL1610:190:391:1804
Adam ErneDAL159:410:390:5900
Matthew WoodNSH119:030:491:1211
Oskar BäckDAL128:280:421:0712
Nathan BastianDAL118:100:451:2501