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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Utah Mammoth 3, Edmonton Oilers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 50% of the time.

EDM winsUTA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against UTA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Schmaltz–Keller–HaytonPeterka–Guenther–CooleyCrouse–Carcone–McBainO'Brien–Stenlund–TanevCrouse–Stenlund–McBainSergachev–SimashevSchmidt–MarinoCole–MaattaCole–SergachevMaatta–SchmidtMaatta–MarinoCole–SchmidtCole–MarinoMarino–SimashevMaatta–SimashevSchmidt–SergachevMarino–Sergachev
Nugent-Hopkins–Mangiapane–McDavid6:280.03–0.492:490.28–0.001:220.15–0.050:330.00–0.000:320.04–0.005:150.18–0.164:060.23–0.050:450.00–0.241:060.05–0.000:320.04–0.00
Draisaitl–Roslovic–Podkolzin3:100.15–0.003:220.24–0.211:400.00–0.212:170.15–0.006:130.21–0.371:270.02–0.000:340.17–0.000:310.00–0.060:510.06–0.000:510.06–0.00
Henrique–Frederic–Savoie1:520.00–0.132:370.09–0.071:590.06–0.160:450.00–0.060:520.00–0.132:040.09–0.132:000.00–0.160:410.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Howard–Savoie–Tomasek0:440.00–0.020:400.00–0.00
Henrique–Howard–Tomasek1:060.00–0.00
Roslovic–Howard–Tomasek1:030.04–0.220:570.04–0.22
Roslovic–Frederic–Podkolzin0:570.00–0.210:340.00–0.00
Draisaitl–McDavid–Tomasek1:000.08–0.001:020.08–0.00
Kulak–Emberson2:300.06–0.002:190.02–0.092:540.15–0.281:070.00–0.003:090.15–0.092:080.02–0.051:280.00–0.130:370.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Ekholm–Bouchard4:500.10–0.161:370.06–0.000:340.00–0.001:170.16–0.021:000.08–0.005:450.31–0.181:360.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:020.08–0.00
Nurse–Walman1:380.28–0.001:010.28–0.041:190.00–0.000:320.04–0.001:220.03–0.001:510.22–0.040:510.08–0.000:310.00–0.000:320.04–0.00
Ekholm–Walman2:050.00–0.331:250.08–0.001:360.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:400.00–0.24
Nurse–Stecher0:380.00–0.071:350.17–0.280:570.00–0.001:220.00–0.081:100.17–0.000:320.00–0.07
Nurse–Bouchard0:360.00–0.001:230.00–0.130:540.00–0.061:150.00–0.130:430.00–0.061:030.00–0.000:300.00–0.06
Kulak–Walman0:330.00–0.002:030.09–0.070:310.04–0.091:550.09–0.071:060.04–0.09
Walman–Stecher1:150.00–0.151:000.00–0.28
Kulak–Stecher0:340.00–0.000:430.07–0.000:560.07–0.00
Walman–Bouchard0:570.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Ekholm–Stecher0:440.00–0.110:440.00–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRoslovic FDraisaitl FPodkolzin FMangiapane FMcDavid FNugent-Hopkins FFrederic FHenrique FSavoie FHoward FTomasek FBouchard DNurse DWalman DEkholm DKulak DEmberson DStecher DSkinner GGuenther FPeterka FCooley FHayton FSchmaltz FKeller FMcBain FCarcone FCrouse FO'Brien FStenlund FTanev FSimashev DSergachev DMarino DSchmidt DMaatta DCole DVejmelka G
EDMUTAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevUTA3126:190:511:5255
Nick SchmaltzUTA2423:040:582:1272
Connor McDavidEDM2222:371:021:4243
Leon DraisaitlEDM2620:430:481:3273
Nate SchmidtUTA3020:300:411:2036
Dmitri SimashevUTA2520:090:481:3242
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2320:080:531:3232
Clayton KellerUTA2320:060:522:1273
John MarinoUTA3019:460:401:4414
Jake WalmanEDM2419:430:491:4332
Mattias EkholmEDM2418:570:471:2553
Evan BouchardEDM2418:530:471:3973
Brett KulakEDM2218:450:511:4703
Jack RoslovicEDM2518:200:441:1353
Logan CooleyUTA2018:060:542:2211
Barrett HaytonUTA2217:550:491:2163
Dylan GuentherUTA2017:440:532:3211
JJ PeterkaUTA2216:540:461:1720
Darnell NurseEDM2116:490:481:2531
Andrew MangiapaneEDM2016:260:491:2642
Matt SavoieEDM2116:080:461:2712
Ian ColeUTA1916:080:511:4702
Vasily PodkolzinEDM2216:020:441:1652
Ty EmbersonEDM1914:580:471:2702
Jack McBainUTA1914:080:451:4303
Adam HenriqueEDM2013:550:421:2704
Lawson CrouseUTA2113:550:401:4316
Olli MaattaUTA1913:040:411:4801
Trent FredericEDM1712:470:451:1900
Kevin StenlundUTA1512:450:511:3212
Michael CarconeUTA1712:390:451:3302
David TomasekEDM1710:520:381:3252
Troy StecherEDM1410:410:461:2721
Isaac HowardEDM169:170:351:0412
Liam O'BrienUTA138:080:381:0500
Brandon TanevUTA127:450:391:0300