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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 29, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 6

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

CBJ winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:37Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Merzlikins
  3. P1 4:22Shot by Marchenko, saved by Primeau
  4. P1 5:32Shot by Lorentz, saved by Merzlikins
  5. P1 6:56Goal by Sillinger (Coyle, Olivier)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Severson, Provorov, Olivier, Sillinger · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Benoit, Maccelli, Knies

  6. P1 8:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Merzlikins
  7. P1 8:21Shot by McMann, saved by Merzlikins
  8. P1 10:33Shot by Provorov, saved by Primeau
  9. P1 11:16Goal by Werenski (Coyle, Olivier)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Werenski, Olivier, Sillinger, Mateychuk · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Benoit, Maccelli, Knies

  10. P1 11:47Shot by McMann, saved by Merzlikins
  11. P1 11:48Shot by Robertson, saved by Merzlikins
  12. P1 12:10Shot by Myers, saved by Merzlikins
  13. P1 16:23Shot by Benoit, saved by Merzlikins
  14. P1 16:27Shot by Joshua, saved by Merzlikins
  15. P1 16:55Shot by Fantilli, saved by Primeau
  16. P1 17:19Shot by Provorov, saved by Primeau
  17. P1 18:18Myers: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Werenski, Olivier, Sillinger, Mateychuk · TOR Rielly, Myers, Matthews, Robertson, McMann

  18. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:24Shot by Werenski, saved by Primeau
  21. P2 0:44Shot by Myers, saved by Merzlikins
  22. P2 2:40Shot by Blais, saved by Merzlikins
  23. P2 2:43Goal by Blais (McCabe, Lorentz)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Fabbro, Christiansen, Johnson, Fantilli · TOR McCabe, Domi, Blais, Lorentz, Benoit

  24. P2 2:58Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Primeau
  25. P2 3:46Shot by Christiansen, saved by Primeau
  26. P2 5:00Shot by Maccelli, saved by Merzlikins
  27. P2 5:03Shot by Knies, saved by Merzlikins
  28. P2 5:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Merzlikins
  29. P2 5:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Merzlikins
  30. P2 5:50Shot by McCabe, saved by Merzlikins
  31. P2 8:30Shot by Voronkov, saved by Primeau
  32. P2 8:33Goal by Provorov (Voronkov, Marchenko)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Monahan, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Carlo, Maccelli, Knies

  33. P2 10:40Shot by McMann, saved by Merzlikins
  34. P2 10:41Shot by McMann, saved by Merzlikins
  35. P2 11:14Shot by Lorentz, saved by Merzlikins
  36. P2 13:24Goal by Sillinger (Coyle, Werenski)+7 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Werenski, Olivier, Sillinger, Mateychuk · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Matthews, Knies

  37. P2 15:31Shot by Tavares, saved by Merzlikins
  38. P2 15:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Merzlikins
  39. P2 16:48Shot by Lorentz, saved by Merzlikins
  40. P2 16:58Goal by Fabbro (Olivier, Sillinger)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Fabbro, Olivier, Christiansen, Sillinger · TOR McCabe, Domi, Blais, Lorentz, Benoit

  41. P2 17:27Shot by Cowan, saved by Merzlikins
  42. P2 19:08Shot by Carlo, saved by Merzlikins
  43. P2 19:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Merzlikins
  44. P2 19:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Merzlikins
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:45Shot by Severson, saved by Primeau
  48. P3 1:52Shot by Fabbro, saved by Primeau
  49. P3 3:06Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Primeau
  50. P3 3:41Severson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Wood, Provorov, Lundeström, Chinakhov · TOR Rielly, Joshua, Roy, Myers, Cowan

  51. P3 4:02Matthews: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Monahan, Provorov, Mateychuk · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Matthews, Maccelli, Knies

  52. P3 5:20Shot by Sillinger, saved by Primeau4v4
  53. P3 5:29Shot by Sillinger, saved by Primeau4v4
  54. P3 7:09Shot by Lundeström, saved by Primeau
  55. P3 7:50Goal by Olivier (Coyle)0 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Coyle, Severson, Provorov, Olivier, Sillinger · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Blais, Benoit, Robertson

  56. P3 9:32Shot by Joshua, saved by Merzlikins
  57. P3 9:47Shot by Roy, saved by Merzlikins
  58. P3 10:32Shot by Christiansen, saved by Primeau
  59. P3 11:37Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Primeau
  60. P3 11:54Shot by Severson, saved by Primeau
  61. P3 12:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Merzlikins
  62. P3 12:25Voronkov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Monahan, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov · TOR McCabe, Matthews, Benoit, Maccelli, McMann

  63. P3 14:13Shot by Cowan, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  64. P3 15:45Goal by Tavares (Knies, Robertson)0 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Fabbro, Christiansen, Johnson, Sillinger, Fantilli · TOR Tavares, Myers, Benoit, Robertson, Knies

  65. P3 18:10Goal by Robertson (Domi, Blais)0 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Wood, Provorov, Olivier, Lundeström, Mateychuk · TOR Rielly, Domi, Blais, Myers, Robertson

  66. P3 19:07Shot by Cowan, saved by Merzlikins
  67. P3 19:09Shot by Domi, saved by Merzlikins
  68. P3 19:33Shot by Jenner, saved by Primeau
  69. P3 19:48Shot by Blais, saved by Merzlikins
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final