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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 29, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

CBJ winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Joshua–Roy–CowanMatthews–Robertson–McMannTavares–Maccelli–KniesDomi–Blais–LorentzMatthews–Maccelli–McMannDomi–Blais–RobertsonJoshua–Blais–RoyMcCabe–BenoitRielly–MyersEkman-Larsson–CarloEkman-Larsson–RiellyMyers–BenoitMcCabe–CarloRielly–CarloRielly–McCabeEkman-Larsson–BenoitMcCabe–MyersCarlo–Myers
Jenner–Johnson–Fantilli4:260.09–0.391:210.00–0.002:110.00–0.320:320.02–0.092:530.00–0.472:320.00–0.091:260.03–0.001:210.02–0.310:520.00–0.040:440.07–0.350:340.00–0.00
Coyle–Olivier–Sillinger1:450.00–0.061:080.07–0.004:050.32–0.352:480.29–0.121:420.00–0.112:410.08–0.101:530.18–0.280:360.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Wood–Lundeström–Chinakhov2:260.30–0.020:530.00–0.001:410.00–0.161:350.00–0.010:410.02–0.000:580.00–0.002:020.01–0.033:110.35–0.010:460.00–0.001:280.02–0.001:030.00–0.00
Monahan–Marchenko–Voronkov0:410.00–0.007:190.22–0.361:110.00–0.062:490.00–0.032:300.22–0.101:390.00–0.201:020.00–0.040:360.33–0.050:310.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Johnson–Sillinger–Fantilli0:350.00–0.000:380.00–0.18
Werenski–Mateychuk1:510.00–0.216:370.05–0.291:490.06–0.050:380.00–0.006:170.06–0.222:160.06–0.051:420.01–0.251:400.10–0.040:340.00–0.050:310.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Severson–Provorov2:140.07–0.023:140.30–0.073:180.59–0.431:460.00–0.011:470.00–0.060:320.06–0.001:400.18–0.034:390.24–0.153:100.16–0.012:330.07–0.281:250.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:410.06–0.00
Fabbro–Christiansen5:530.34–0.361:260.00–0.002:270.05–0.430:390.02–0.091:590.05–0.382:010.02–0.114:070.29–0.021:030.02–0.181:570.00–0.160:520.07–0.200:430.00–0.00
Fabbro–Mateychuk0:450.00–0.001:050.00–0.00
Severson–Fabbro0:380.00–0.08
Provorov–Mateychuk0:370.02–0.080:410.00–0.000:340.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCoyle FSillinger FOlivier FVoronkov FMonahan FMarchenko FFantilli FJenner FJohnson FWood FChinakhov FLundeström FProvorov DSeverson DMateychuk DWerenski DFabbro DChristiansen DMerzlikins GKnies FMaccelli FTavares FMatthews FMcMann FRobertson FRoy FJoshua FCowan FBlais FDomi FLorentz FCarlo DEkman-Larsson DBenoit DMcCabe DRielly DMyers DPrimeau G
CBJTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Denton MateychukCBJ2422:470:571:4445
Morgan RiellyTOR3222:250:421:2293
Zach WerenskiCBJ2321:440:571:3743
Jake McCabeTOR3020:200:411:1247
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2320:190:531:2942
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2720:150:451:2853
Dante FabbroCBJ2019:541:003:2302
Auston MatthewsTOR2219:460:541:2943
Damon SeversonCBJ2219:240:531:4433
Brandon CarloTOR2719:100:431:1723
Simon BenoitTOR2718:050:401:0916
Philippe MyersTOR2417:550:451:2313
Easton CowanTOR2017:230:521:3112
Nick RobertsonTOR2217:220:471:2132
Adam FantilliCBJ1617:171:051:3312
Nicolas RoyTOR2216:540:461:1915
Bobby McMannTOR2016:310:501:1032
Cole SillingerCBJ1816:200:543:2031
Dakota JoshuaTOR1915:460:501:2213
Boone JennerCBJ1715:430:551:2402
Kent JohnsonCBJ1615:390:591:2922
Matthew KniesTOR2115:190:441:2143
Jake ChristiansenCBJ1615:000:563:1502
Sean MonahanCBJ1714:580:531:2625
Charlie CoyleCBJ2014:540:453:0434
John TavaresTOR2014:210:431:3543
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ1614:110:531:2343
Mathieu OlivierCBJ1714:030:502:5632
Egor ChinakhovCBJ1513:550:561:3610
Max DomiTOR1913:420:431:2422
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ1613:360:511:1543
Miles WoodCBJ1613:350:511:3012
Isac LundeströmCBJ1612:410:481:2312
Matias MaccelliTOR1712:340:441:2723
Sammy BlaisTOR1610:550:411:0211
Steven LorentzTOR137:170:341:0211