Wed, Oct 29, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
20%
65%
CBJ winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:25 | 0.24 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.04 | 75.8% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:15 | 0.09 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:46 | 0.40 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.04 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.03 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.13 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.32 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.13 | 70.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.09 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:31 | 0.32 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.44 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.11 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 14:21 | 0.49 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.19 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.08 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:55 | 0.34 | 83.8% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:17 | 0.17 | 75.2% | +13.3 |
| L | 24 | 18 | 6 | .750 | 2.21 | −3.8 | 60:00 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:47 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:44 | 0.16 | 29.5% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.23 | 55.5% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:54 | 0.07 | 19.9% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.12 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.19 | 8.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 16:20 | 0.46 | 41.9% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.02 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.00 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.03 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.08 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.08 | 46.1% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.22 | 57.6% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.06 | 46.7% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.25 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.23 | 60.7% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.00 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.01 | 60.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.61 | +0.6 | 60:00 |