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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 31, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

New York Islanders 3, Washington Capitals 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 69% of the time.

WSH winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Bo HorvatC · #14101+1320:340.4855.6%+22.5
Ryan PulockD · #6011+3120:060.0280.5%+22.5
Kyle PalmieriC · #210000220:020.2760.6%0.0
Alexander RomanovD · #280000019:430.0032.8%0.0
Adam PelechD · #3011+3019:290.1581.0%+7.1
Scott MayfieldD · #24000−1118:560.0027.8%0.0
Mathew BarzalC · #13101+1218:040.5849.4%+7.1
Matthew SchaeferD · #48000−1217:580.1365.1%0.0
Simon HolmstromRW · #10011+1017:450.0968.6%+29.2
Jonathan DrouinLW · #290000216:230.4174.4%0.0
Calum RitchieC · #640000016:170.0755.8%0.0
Tony DeAngeloD · #770000315:420.0634.5%0.0
Anders LeeLW · #270000315:210.7342.7%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44101+1113:350.1038.9%+29.2
Emil HeinemanLW · #51011+1312:440.5563.4%+22.5
Kyle MacLeanC · #320000010:090.0520.4%0.0
Casey CizikasC · #53000009:590.0040.5%0.0
Anthony DuclairLW · #11000009:130.0044.0%0.0
Ilya Sorokin#30W23221.9572.58+1.660:00

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

John CarlsonD · #74000−2225:080.2139.8%0.0
Matt RoyD · #30110221:210.0942.3%+22.2
Martin FehérváryD · #420000020:270.0061.2%0.0
Jakob ChychrunD · #6011−1120:210.3433.6%+22.2
Tom WilsonRW · #431010119:470.1047.2%+22.2
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21000−1119:260.2740.9%0.0
Connor McMichaelLW · #24000−1218:270.1541.8%0.0
Alex OvechkinLW · #8000−3218:170.3521.1%0.0
Nic DowdC · #260000115:560.1042.4%0.0
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #570000214:260.1168.5%0.0
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72000−1514:210.3781.2%0.0
Brandon DuhaimeRW · #220000114:040.1353.3%0.0
Justin SourdifC · #34000−1013:520.0052.0%0.0
Hendrix LapierreC · #29000−1113:510.0160.1%0.0
Ryan LeonardRW · #90000013:040.0016.9%0.0
Declan ChisholmD · #470000012:250.0266.8%0.0
Sonny MilanoLW · #15000029:130.2665.3%0.0
Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80000006:020.0669.9%0.0
Logan Thompson#48L22202.9093.23+1.259:32