Fri, Oct 31, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
New York Islanders 3, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 69% of the time.
23%
8%
61%
WSH winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.48 | 55.6% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.02 | 80.5% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:02 | 0.27 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:43 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.15 | 81.0% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.58 | 49.4% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.13 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.09 | 68.6% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.41 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.07 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:42 | 0.06 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:21 | 0.73 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.10 | 38.9% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:44 | 0.55 | 63.4% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.05 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:59 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 2.58 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 25:08 | 0.21 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.09 | 42.3% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.34 | 33.6% | +22.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.10 | 47.2% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.27 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.15 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.35 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.10 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.11 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 14:21 | 0.37 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.13 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.01 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.02 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:13 | 0.26 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:02 | 0.06 | 69.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 3.23 | +1.2 | 59:32 |