Fri, Oct 31, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
New York Islanders 3, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 69% of the time.
23%
8%
61%
WSH winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lee–Pageau–Holmstrom | Cizikas–Duclair–MacLean | Palmieri–Drouin–Ritchie | Drouin–Horvat–Heineman | Palmieri–Barzal–Ritchie | Horvat–Barzal–Heineman | Cizikas–Lee–MacLean | Pelech–Pulock | Mayfield–Schaefer | DeAngelo–Romanov | Mayfield–Romanov | DeAngelo–Schaefer | Mayfield–Pulock | Pelech–Romanov | Pulock–Romanov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dowd–Duhaime–Sourdif | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.25 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 3:120.23–0.02 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 2:340.17–0.00 | 2:080.23–0.02 | 1:150.01–0.25 | |||||||
| Wilson–McMichael–Protas | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:080.10–0.37 | 4:490.00–0.22 | 0:460.10–0.16 | |||||||||
| Milano–Beauvillier–Lapierre | 3:380.11–0.21 | 0:380.41–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.15 | 2:030.06–0.05 | 0:380.41–0.00 | 0:390.05–0.00 | |||||||||
| Wilson–Dubois–Protas | 2:340.06–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:500.06–0.01 | 1:240.00–0.04 | |||||||||||
| Ovechkin–McMichael–Leonard | 3:310.00–0.09 | 1:220.00–0.04 | 1:290.00–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ovechkin–Lapierre–Leonard | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Ovechkin–Sourdif–Lapierre | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Milano–Sourdif–Lapierre | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 1:330.00–0.08 | 0:500.00–0.15 | 1:250.00–0.23 | 3:220.13–0.00 | 1:210.10–0.02 | 0:420.10–0.09 | 3:510.09–0.24 | 1:520.16–0.00 | 2:210.18–0.02 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 1:020.09–0.00 | ||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 1:530.00–0.00 | 2:260.05–0.05 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.04 | 2:220.13–0.00 | 5:290.00–0.02 | 2:180.17–0.09 | 2:100.13–0.04 | 1:050.05–0.00 | ||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Chisholm | 2:510.09–0.06 | 1:360.06–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.25 | 0:400.41–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 2:180.06–0.00 | 2:460.51–0.05 | 0:490.00–0.25 | |||||||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.37 | 1:170.00–0.21 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 0:460.03–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Roy–Chisholm | 0:370.05–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 27 | 25:08 | 0:56 | 1:54 | 3 | 3 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 22 | 21:21 | 0:58 | 1:35 | 1 | 4 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 24 | 20:34 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 2 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 24 | 20:27 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 0 | 6 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 23 | 20:21 | 0:53 | 2:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 25 | 20:06 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 1 | 5 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 22 | 20:02 | 0:55 | 2:52 | 2 | 3 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 26 | 19:47 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 22 | 19:43 | 0:54 | 2:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 26 | 19:29 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 1 | 5 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 25 | 19:26 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 23 | 18:56 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 1 | 3 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 24 | 18:27 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 5 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 18 | 18:17 | 1:01 | 2:54 | 2 | 0 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 19 | 18:04 | 0:57 | 1:39 | 2 | 2 |
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 19 | 17:58 | 0:57 | 2:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 21 | 17:45 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 0 | 2 |
 Jonathan DrouinNYI | 19 | 16:23 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 23 | 15:56 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 1 | 5 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 19 | 15:42 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 20 | 15:21 | 0:46 | 1:52 | 0 | 1 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 17 | 14:26 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 0 | 5 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 16 | 14:21 | 0:54 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 22 | 14:04 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 18 | 13:52 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 17 | 13:51 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 18 | 13:04 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 2 | 0 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 18 | 12:44 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Declan ChisholmWSH | 15 | 12:25 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 0 | 4 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 12 | 10:09 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 13 | 9:59 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 13 | 9:13 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 12 | 9:13 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 2 | 0 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 7 | 6:02 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |