Sun, Nov 2, 2025·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Calgary Flames 2, Philadelphia Flyers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 55% of the time.
34%
11%
12%
43%
PHI winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:59 | 0.21 | 38.0% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:15 | 0.08 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:01 | 0.48 | 36.9% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.08 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.03 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.09 | 42.4% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.27 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.09 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.10 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.08 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:13 | 0.27 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.01 | 6.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.04 | 31.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:45 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:37 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 1.63 | +0.6 | 59:20 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:00 | 0.08 | 84.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:38 | 0.05 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:54 | 0.05 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:40 | 0.22 | 69.0% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.03 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.51 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.11 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.22 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.01 | 78.2% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 12.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.04 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.03 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.08 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.03 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.02 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.13 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.35 | −0.6 | 58:12 |