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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 5, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

St. Louis Blues 1, Washington Capitals 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 73% of the time.

WSH winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Buchnevich–Thomas–SnuggerudBjugstad–Walker–ToropchenkoSchenn–Kyrou–SuterSundqvist–Holloway–DvorskySchenn–Kyrou–HollowaySundqvist–Walker–ToropchenkoKyrou–Holloway–DvorskyKyrou–Suter–DvorskySchenn–Suter–HollowayBjugstad–Kyrou–DvorskyParayko–BrobergFaulk–FowlerFaulk–TuckerTucker–MaillouxFowler–MaillouxParayko–Mailloux
Milano–Lapierre–Leonard1:410.17–0.012:300.15–0.001:420.33–0.001:070.00–0.004:050.51–0.302:590.20–0.012:420.19–0.001:260.10–0.000:430.00–0.01
Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier1:270.00–0.064:090.28–0.050:360.00–0.002:030.10–0.180:410.00–0.000:440.00–0.144:120.16–0.293:460.17–0.082:270.10–0.030:310.00–0.06
Dowd–Duhaime–Sourdif0:360.00–0.053:240.06–0.040:380.00–0.031:010.31–0.001:080.00–0.001:230.00–0.080:400.00–0.002:370.02–0.002:170.17–0.081:500.06–0.001:250.31–0.00
Wilson–McMichael–Protas4:070.25–0.270:400.00–0.002:150.27–0.001:010.28–0.004:180.52–0.071:400.00–0.130:370.00–0.000:390.28–0.000:320.00–0.00
Roy–Chychrun1:480.25–0.071:490.17–0.002:410.05–0.001:440.33–0.081:060.00–0.001:510.10–0.180:440.00–0.006:280.63–0.312:550.19–0.003:160.12–0.030:570.09–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Sandin1:270.00–0.134:420.15–0.000:530.06–0.040:360.00–0.000:480.00–0.002:460.05–0.003:140.02–0.132:360.13–0.001:210.28–0.001:230.00–0.01
Carlson–Fehérváry3:350.17–0.251:180.06–0.000:430.00–0.030:350.00–0.030:430.00–0.301:090.00–0.003:040.17–0.301:310.16–0.122:110.00–0.031:420.17–0.032:420.20–0.06
Carlson–Chychrun1:040.00–0.050:470.00–0.081:020.00–0.05
Roy–Fehérváry0:480.23–0.001:160.23–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Chychrun1:100.31–0.001:100.31–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FStrome FBeauvillier FMcMichael FProtas FWilson FSourdif FDuhaime FDowd FMilano FLeonard FLapierre FSandin Dvan Riemsdyk DCarlson DFehérváry DRoy DChychrun DThompson GDvorsky FSundqvist FHolloway FThomas FBuchnevich FSnuggerud FKyrou FSuter FSchenn FBjugstad FToropchenko FWalker FFaulk DTucker DParayko DBroberg DMailloux DFowler DBinnington GHofer G
WSHSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkSTL2725:070:561:5755
Jakob ChychrunWSH2322:470:592:4741
Colton ParaykoSTL2621:260:492:5915
John CarlsonWSH2321:050:551:3755
Philip BrobergSTL2720:160:451:4026
Matt RoyWSH2220:020:551:2103
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2319:450:521:3632
Martin FehérváryWSH2119:340:561:2326
Cam FowlerSTL2318:330:482:0923
Dylan HollowaySTL1817:410:593:0121
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL1917:390:561:4741
Rasmus SandinWSH2016:580:511:3133
Dalibor DvorskySTL1916:480:532:5550
Pavel BuchnevichSTL1916:440:531:4635
Jordan KyrouSTL1816:430:561:2130
Alex OvechkinWSH2116:400:481:1950
Dylan StromeWSH2016:340:501:2250
Pius SuterSTL2216:260:451:1160
Robert ThomasSTL2016:230:491:4235
Nic DowdWSH1716:190:581:4114
Ryan LeonardWSH2015:400:471:3611
Tyler TuckerSTL1915:350:491:2602
Sonny MilanoWSH1715:270:551:5011
Anthony BeauvillierWSH1915:100:481:1941
Nathan WalkerSTL1815:080:501:3505
Brayden SchennSTL1814:100:471:1550
Hendrix LapierreWSH1714:010:491:3911
Tom WilsonWSH1813:540:461:1143
Logan MaillouxSTL1613:520:521:2300
Justin SourdifWSH1513:260:541:2714
Connor McMichaelWSH1613:220:501:1432
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1812:530:431:2814
Nick BjugstadSTL1512:440:511:2315
Brandon DuhaimeWSH1411:530:511:4214
Aliaksei ProtasWSH1511:320:461:0822
Oskar SundqvistSTL107:430:461:3411