Sat, Nov 8, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Colorado Avalanche 9, Edmonton Oilers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.
18%
69%
EDM winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 23:30 | 0.31 | 48.7% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.38 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:42 | 0.05 | 47.6% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.17 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.30 | 80.1% | +4.6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 19:46 | 0.68 | 62.3% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 49.8% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.04 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 16:44 | 0.77 | 66.8% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.01 | 89.0% | +9.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 15:45 | 0.23 | 73.7% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.32 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 12:13 | 0.27 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 10:32 | 0.43 | 79.6% | +2.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 10:15 | 0.16 | 76.1% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 6:36 | 0.01 | 96.8% | +10.9 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.46 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 27:58 | 0.26 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 21:57 | 0.28 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 19:10 | 0.50 | 52.2% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.09 | 50.0% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.30 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.04 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 8.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:48 | 0.28 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.09 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.25 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.13 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.06 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.03 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.15 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
| – | 21 | 16 | 5 | .762 | 2.94 | −2.1 | 32:07 | |
| L | 13 | 9 | 4 | .692 | 1.18 | −2.8 | 27:28 |