Wed, Nov 12, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
New York Rangers 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.
57%
29%
TBL winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.20 | 57.4% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.00 | 46.5% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:22 | 0.36 | 35.3% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.00 | 46.3% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.03 | 19.6% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.01 | 55.0% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.07 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.94 | 35.2% | +13.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.38 | 52.1% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.36 | 52.8% | +48.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.17 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 13:51 | 0.26 | 44.7% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 41.9% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.21 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.06 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.09 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:46 | 0.39 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 4.43 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:56 | 0.21 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 23:08 | 0.93 | 67.0% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:48 | 0.65 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:12 | 0.52 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.19 | 76.0% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 18:57 | 0.73 | 61.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.16 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.15 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −5 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.06 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.02 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.23 | 61.7% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.20 | 66.3% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.14 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.09 | 27.7% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:42 | 0.08 | 47.4% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.06 | 27.7% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 2:24 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 6 | 1 | .857 | 1.12 | +0.1 | 16:33 | |
| L | 13 | 8 | 5 | .615 | 1.46 | −3.5 | 40:00 |