Wed, Nov 12, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
New York Rangers 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.
57%
29%
TBL winsNYR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Trocheck–Panarin–Lafrenière | Zibanejad–Miller–Perreault | Carrick–Raddysh–Edstrom | Sheary–Cuylle–Laba | Zibanejad–Miller–Cuylle | Sheary–Laba–Perreault | Miller–Laba–Perreault | Raddysh–Edstrom–Laba | Zibanejad–Miller–Panarin | Gavrikov–Fox | Soucy–Borgen | Vaakanainen–Schneider | Soucy–Gavrikov | Borgen–Vaakanainen | Fox–Schneider | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 4:180.35–0.14 | 1:190.09–0.07 | 1:360.21–0.00 | 0:590.16–0.00 | 2:440.24–0.00 | 4:040.35–0.31 | 0:480.00–0.13 | 0:490.19–0.00 | |||||||
| Sabourin–Douglas–Finley | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:560.03–0.07 | 1:290.08–0.21 | 0:410.00–0.20 | 2:090.12–0.05 | 2:120.00–0.31 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Bjorkstrand | 2:200.16–0.18 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:160.16–0.00 | 1:210.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Katchouk–Goncalves | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:560.02–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Kucherov–Katchouk–Goncalves | 1:120.00–0.21 | 1:100.00–0.24 | 0:590.13–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Hagel | 1:540.02–0.08 | 1:100.02–0.08 | |||||||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Goncalves | 1:000.07–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Point–Goncalves | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.18 | |||||||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Guentzel | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Guentzel–Point | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Gourde–Sabourin–Bjorkstrand | 0:360.24–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 3:470.40–0.03 | 1:270.18–0.00 | 1:410.09–0.00 | 1:040.04–0.00 | 1:430.06–0.00 | 0:500.16–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.06 | 4:050.08–0.21 | 5:230.44–0.06 | 2:140.24–0.00 | ||||
| Cernak–D'Astous | 2:270.00–0.09 | 3:540.01–0.14 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.21 | 2:100.13–0.00 | 0:360.06–0.00 | 5:110.01–0.00 | 4:000.13–0.26 | 2:170.00–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:360.13–0.00 | ||||
| Crozier–Lilleberg | 3:060.02–0.26 | 3:150.03–0.35 | 2:240.01–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.27 | 4:150.16–0.30 | 2:510.00–0.31 | 3:270.14–0.13 | 0:360.00–0.07 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Raddysh–D'Astous | 0:410.03–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Cernak–Lilleberg | 0:350.00–0.21 | 0:520.26–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.21 | ||||||||||||
| Cernak–Moser | 0:340.13–0.00 | 0:300.13–0.00 | 0:350.17–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 22 | 23:56 | 1:05 | 3:46 | 3 | 3 | |
| 21 | 23:08 | 1:06 | 3:41 | 3 | 0 | |
| 23 | 22:48 | 0:59 | 3:10 | 4 | 3 | |
| 27 | 22:24 | 0:50 | 2:08 | 0 | 8 | |
| 20 | 22:12 | 1:07 | 3:43 | 3 | 0 | |
| 27 | 22:10 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 3 | 5 | |
| 28 | 21:22 | 0:46 | 2:10 | 4 | 7 | |
| 26 | 20:51 | 0:48 | 2:06 | 3 | 7 | |
| 27 | 20:13 | 0:45 | 2:14 | 4 | 6 | |
| 28 | 19:55 | 0:43 | 2:00 | 2 | 4 | |
| 27 | 19:47 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 0 | 8 | |
| 26 | 19:44 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 7 | 3 | |
| 17 | 18:57 | 1:07 | 2:56 | 6 | 2 | |
| 23 | 18:37 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 0 | 3 | |
| 19 | 18:08 | 0:57 | 2:56 | 3 | 2 | |
| 23 | 18:00 | 0:47 | 2:08 | 3 | 4 | |
| 21 | 17:24 | 0:50 | 1:49 | 2 | 1 | |
| 20 | 17:11 | 0:52 | 1:57 | 4 | 1 | |
| 23 | 16:43 | 0:44 | 2:06 | 2 | 4 | |
| 20 | 16:25 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 1 | 1 | |
| 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 5 | 3 | |
| 19 | 15:41 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 6 | 3 | |
| 19 | 15:08 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 | |
| 21 | 14:27 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 5 | 3 | |
| 20 | 13:51 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 | |
| 18 | 13:49 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 | |
| 18 | 13:14 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 13:14 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 | |
| 18 | 12:44 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 | |
| 16 | 12:43 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 | |
| 17 | 11:42 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 4 | 2 | |
| 19 | 10:32 | 0:33 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 | |
| 16 | 9:46 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 | |
| 14 | 9:11 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 | |
| 14 | 8:33 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 | |
| 3 | 2:24 | 0:48 | 0:56 | 1 | 1 |