Sat, Nov 15, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Winnipeg Jets 4, Calgary Flames 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 53% of the time.
39%
9%
9%
44%
CGY winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:16 | 0.05 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 24:50 | 0.00 | 62.1% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:01 | 0.00 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.01 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.43 | 40.1% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:29 | 0.34 | 52.3% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.39 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.02 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.04 | 67.3% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:22 | 0.44 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.08 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.55 | 75.2% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.03 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.01 | 68.5% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.16 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.35 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.17 | 51.8% | +17.9 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.94 | −0.1 | 64:56 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:37 | 0.04 | 56.4% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 25:23 | 0.22 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:36 | 0.31 | 29.1% | +37.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.03 | 54.7% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:53 | 0.22 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:05 | 0.59 | 25.7% | +56.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.01 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.02 | 38.8% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.17 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:12 | 0.40 | 28.5% | +36.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.04 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.01 | 39.5% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.05 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.29 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:16 | 0.49 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.05 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:05 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.80 | −0.2 | 64:29 |