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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 26, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

Winnipeg Jets 3, Washington Capitals 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 62% of the time.

WSH winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Connor–VilardiToews–Nyquist–BarronNamestnikov–Pearson–PerfettiNiederreiter–Lowry–IafalloNamestnikov–Barron–PerfettiDeMelo–MorrisseySamberg–SalomonssonMiller–StanleyMiller–SambergDeMelo–Miller
Wilson–Protas–Sourdif6:460.53–0.620:470.00–0.004:530.39–0.492:290.18–0.030:480.00–0.10
Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier1:070.00–0.191:530.26–0.033:190.13–0.001:430.13–0.183:030.24–0.002:040.01–0.08
Duhaime–McMichael–Leonard1:130.17–0.142:320.00–0.011:240.00–0.001:290.17–0.001:580.04–0.002:420.00–0.15
Milano–Lapierre–Frank2:590.09–0.140:410.01–0.002:140.07–0.062:100.09–0.00
Beauvillier–McMichael–Leonard0:370.00–0.170:450.00–0.100:450.00–0.100:390.00–0.17
Strome–Beauvillier–Frank0:490.00–0.00
Protas–Sourdif–Leonard0:580.17–0.001:040.17–0.00
Milano–McMichael–Leonard0:370.00–0.170:450.06–0.17
Ovechkin–Beauvillier–Lapierre0:400.00–0.000:350.00–0.04
Carlson–Fehérváry4:410.23–0.450:300.00–0.002:590.20–0.001:220.00–0.000:470.00–0.074:590.27–0.484:310.20–0.001:260.00–0.100:400.00–0.00
Roy–Chychrun3:040.11–0.071:100.05–0.002:240.28–0.031:560.03–0.055:200.10–0.103:380.35–0.051:350.01–0.00
McIlrath–Sandin4:500.00–0.151:040.00–0.041:080.00–0.000:450.00–0.044:210.00–0.01
Roy–Sandin0:320.08–0.141:420.00–0.200:510.00–0.171:520.00–0.18
Chychrun–Fehérváry0:380.00–0.171:010.11–0.001:170.11–0.170:300.04–0.000:460.00–0.05
Carlson–Sandin0:520.09–0.031:100.32–0.150:470.13–0.150:380.09–0.03
Chychrun–Sandin0:310.21–0.000:490.00–0.000:300.09–0.000:590.00–0.00
Carlson–Roy1:040.27–0.000:360.00–0.001:260.27–0.000:570.00–0.00
Roy–Fehérváry0:510.05–0.370:450.00–0.101:060.00–0.470:420.00–0.00
McIlrath–Chychrun0:300.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Carlson–Chychrun0:420.09–0.20
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FStrome FBeauvillier FProtas FSourdif FWilson FLeonard FDuhaime FMcMichael FMilano FFrank FLapierre FFehérváry DCarlson DChychrun DRoy DSandin DMcIlrath DLindgren GIafallo FLowry FNiederreiter FVilardi FScheifele FConnor FNyquist FToews FBarron FNamestnikov FPerfetti FPearson FSamberg DSalomonsson DDeMelo DMorrissey DMiller DStanley DComrie G
WSHWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG2826:020:562:3672
John CarlsonWSH2424:441:022:1633
Martin FehérváryWSH2222:481:021:3824
Kyle ConnorWPG2422:450:571:4962
Dylan DeMeloWPG2922:200:461:4074
Jakob ChychrunWSH2221:470:591:2622
Connor McMichaelWSH2721:040:471:4517
Mark ScheifeleWPG2320:420:541:3062
Dylan SambergWPG2720:200:452:2123
Matt RoyWSH2219:580:541:1915
Anthony BeauvillierWSH2619:540:461:3153
Tom WilsonWSH2718:400:411:2435
Colin MillerWPG2118:360:531:3721
Rasmus SandinWSH2018:000:541:2913
Gabriel VilardiWPG2217:550:491:2860
Alex OvechkinWSH2217:190:472:2660
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2317:190:451:4014
Cole PerfettiWPG1816:590:571:4321
Dylan StromeWSH2316:440:441:1551
Elias SalomonssonWPG2316:180:431:2123
Jonathan ToewsWPG2015:300:471:2471
Ryan LeonardWSH1915:260:491:2206
Justin SourdifWSH2114:370:421:2323
Gustav NyquistWPG1814:100:471:2571
Morgan BarronWPG2013:490:411:2754
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG1713:110:471:1441
Logan StanleyWPG1512:500:511:2621
Alex IafalloWPG2012:010:361:1404
Nino NiederreiterWPG1711:370:411:1114
Adam LowryWPG1911:180:361:0304
Tanner PearsonWPG1911:180:361:0221
Ethen FrankWSH1511:130:451:5912
Brandon DuhaimeWSH1610:330:401:0006
Dylan McIlrathWSH119:100:501:1804
Hendrix LapierreWSH128:560:451:0912
Sonny MilanoWSH118:140:451:0401