Sat, Nov 29, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Montréal Canadiens 2, Colorado Avalanche 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 75% of the time.
68%
18%
COL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.11 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:30 | 0.13 | 49.6% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.20 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.27 | 34.7% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.11 | 30.7% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.10 | 49.0% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.10 | 44.3% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.24 | 57.5% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.20 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.16 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.21 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.04 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.03 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:09 | 0.17 | 9.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.17 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 29 | 7 | .806 | 3.82 | −3.2 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 21:14 | 0.34 | 72.8% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.05 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:11 | 0.20 | 50.3% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.08 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.00 | 62.8% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.30 | 65.5% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.24 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.11 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.55 | 66.5% | +40.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:36 | 0.21 | 59.3% | +0.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 16:12 | 0.74 | 61.2% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.00 | 73.4% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 14:49 | 0.35 | 59.5% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.15 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.26 | 74.9% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.12 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:28 | 0.08 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.03 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.25 | +0.2 | 59:58 |