Sun, Nov 30, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Washington Capitals 4, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 54% of the time.
39%
9%
45%
NYI winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.43 | 40.1% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.01 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.79 | 37.2% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:29 | 0.34 | 49.1% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.04 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.01 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.62 | 33.5% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.06 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.84 | 40.6% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.05 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.18 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.22 | 14.7% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:11 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:39 | 0.08 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 3.57 | +2.6 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 26:12 | 0.07 | 59.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 24:02 | 0.18 | 67.1% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:54 | 0.12 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:31 | 0.41 | 46.2% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.07 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.39 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.13 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 16:41 | 1.09 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.20 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.12 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.29 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.27 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.02 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.00 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.02 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.15 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.03 | 76.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 15 | 2 | .882 | 1.72 | −0.3 | 57:33 |