Mon, Dec 1, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Winnipeg Jets 1, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
10%
37%
BUF winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.24 | 59.9% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.00 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.01 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.38 | 47.4% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.21 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.09 | 53.3% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.07 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.13 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.07 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.27 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.02 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.01 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 7.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.27 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.07 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.07 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.09 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:08 | 0.28 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 14 | 11 | 3 | .786 | 1.04 | −2.0 | 20:00 | |
| – | 17 | 15 | 2 | .882 | 1.39 | −0.6 | 40:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.23 | 72.2% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:36 | 0.18 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.03 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.18 | 42.0% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.07 | 50.9% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.15 | 43.3% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.30 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.11 | 69.7% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.08 | 53.5% | +8.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.23 | 54.2% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.05 | 62.5% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.16 | 54.2% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.30 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.08 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.16 | 64.9% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.01 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.11 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.27 | +1.3 | 60:00 |