Mon, Dec 1, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Winnipeg Jets 1, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
10%
37%
BUF winsWPG wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Scheifele–Connor–Vilardi | Toews–Namestnikov–Perfetti | Niederreiter–Lowry–Iafallo | Nyquist–Pearson–Barron | Lowry–Pearson–Iafallo | Nyquist–Lowry–Pearson | DeMelo–Morrissey | Schenn–Samberg | Miller–Stanley | Miller–Samberg | Schenn–Morrissey | DeMelo–Samberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson–Norris–Benson | 2:510.14–0.24 | 1:510.06–0.02 | 2:040.14–0.00 | 2:380.06–0.01 | 0:590.01–0.00 | 2:480.16–0.26 | 4:490.24–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.01 | 0:530.01–0.00 | |||
| Greenway–Malenstyn–Krebs | 2:420.02–0.11 | 4:230.29–0.17 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 3:540.14–0.01 | 4:060.08–0.14 | 1:510.10–0.07 | |||||
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 2:360.11–0.00 | 3:030.21–0.04 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 3:180.19–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.04 | 2:320.06–0.00 | 0:300.11–0.00 | |||||
| Tuch–Doan–Ostlund | 1:430.03–0.02 | 2:540.08–0.00 | 1:140.12–0.00 | 1:450.04–0.00 | 1:050.03–0.00 | 4:190.15–0.02 | ||||||
| Zucker–Quinn–Ostlund | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.06 | ||||||||||
| Tuch–Krebs–Doan | 0:350.02–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tuch–McLeod–Quinn | ||||||||||||
| Quinn–Doan–Ostlund | 0:430.00–0.28 | |||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 4:330.21–0.32 | 4:000.37–0.19 | 3:220.10–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.03 | 1:100.11–0.00 | 3:300.36–0.24 | 6:200.35–0.14 | 4:090.16–0.09 | 1:060.11–0.00 | |||
| Timmins–Byram | 3:450.12–0.07 | 2:060.02–0.02 | 2:490.13–0.00 | 2:070.01–0.01 | 6:000.08–0.43 | 3:470.08–0.00 | 2:440.12–0.08 | |||||
| Bryson–Power | 2:410.03–0.02 | 4:010.16–0.12 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 2:260.11–0.20 | 4:190.14–0.27 | 1:560.11–0.04 | 4:360.05–0.02 | |||||
| Byram–Power | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Timmins–Samuelsson | 0:590.01–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:450.00–0.06 | 0:500.00–0.06 | ||||||||||
| Timmins–Bryson | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Josh MorrisseyWPG | 26 | 23:49 | 0:55 | 1:48 | 4 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 22:18 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Dylan DeMeloWPG | 25 | 22:00 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 2 | 3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 21:36 | 0:54 | 1:24 | 0 | 4 |
 Dylan SambergWPG | 23 | 21:02 | 0:55 | 2:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 20:21 | 0:51 | 2:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 22 | 19:58 | 0:54 | 2:18 | 2 | 1 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 24 | 19:15 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 2 | 3 |
 Kyle ConnorWPG | 20 | 19:12 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 2 | 0 |
 Gabriel VilardiWPG | 19 | 18:41 | 0:59 | 1:50 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark ScheifeleWPG | 19 | 17:54 | 0:57 | 1:53 | 2 | 1 |
 Luke SchennWPG | 22 | 17:28 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 0 | 3 |
 Colin MillerWPG | 21 | 17:00 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 16:56 | 0:56 | 2:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 19 | 16:01 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 20 | 16:01 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 4 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 18 | 15:44 | 0:52 | 1:55 | 2 | 1 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 18 | 15:25 | 0:51 | 2:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Jonathan ToewsWPG | 17 | 15:24 | 0:54 | 1:31 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex IafalloWPG | 19 | 15:18 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 2 | 3 |
 Logan StanleyWPG | 20 | 15:17 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 18 | 15:05 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 2 | 1 |
 Cole PerfettiWPG | 17 | 15:01 | 0:53 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 18 | 14:43 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 14:35 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 2 | 5 |
 Adam LowryWPG | 18 | 14:34 | 0:49 | 2:05 | 1 | 4 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 21 | 14:21 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 3 | 5 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovWPG | 17 | 14:03 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 1 | 2 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 18 | 13:58 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 1 | 1 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 19 | 13:50 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 2 | 4 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 20 | 13:50 | 0:42 | 1:41 | 0 | 2 |
 Nino NiederreiterWPG | 17 | 12:23 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Morgan BarronWPG | 17 | 12:22 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 0 | 5 |
 Tanner PearsonWPG | 16 | 12:09 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 17 | 12:03 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 3 | 1 |
 Gustav NyquistWPG | 17 | 11:08 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |