Tue, Dec 2, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Florida Panthers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 83% of the time.
11%
77%
FLA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 24:27 | 0.04 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 24:26 | 0.05 | 76.7% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:36 | 0.51 | 76.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.11 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:33 | 0.09 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.64 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:19 | 1.41 | 59.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:45 | 0.21 | 78.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.04 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.32 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.03 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.07 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.37 | 60.1% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.09 | 58.6% | +27.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.21 | 51.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:23 | 0.00 | 51.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.01 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.03 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:56 | 0.01 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.03 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.07 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.20 | 23.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.04 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.10 | 23.7% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.25 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.43 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.02 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.31 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:06 | 0.20 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.07 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:32 | 0.17 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.02 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:16 | 0.11 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:04 | 0.00 | 70.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 3.40 | +0.4 | 58:53 |