Sat, Dec 6, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
New York Islanders 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.
71%
16%
TBL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matthew SchaeferD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:27 | 0.08 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan PulockD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.05 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Bo HorvatC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:13 | 0.23 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:56 | 0.11 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.06 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
 Scott MayfieldD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.04 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
 Emil HeinemanLW · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.00 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Mathew BarzalC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
 Tony DeAngeloD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 24.5% | +29.3 |
 Maxim ShabanovRW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.18 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.18 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 Casey CizikasC · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.52 | 47.3% | +4.0 |
 Anders LeeLW · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.35 | 25.5% | +29.3 |
 Kyle MacLeanC · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Calum RitchieC · #64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.08 | 26.0% | +29.3 |
 Adam BoqvistD · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Maxim TsyplakovRW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:35 | 0.06 | 32.3% | 0.0 |
 Marc GatcombC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:29 | 0.16 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | W | 32 | 32 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.84 | +3.8 | 59:50 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:28 | 0.12 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.19 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.07 | 94.4% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:04 | 0.54 | 70.5% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:33 | 1.23 | 73.1% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.01 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:15 | 0.05 | 97.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:57 | 0.62 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.13 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.08 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.18 | 67.0% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.11 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.09 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.07 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 71.4% | 0.0 |
 Jack FinleyC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.11 | 82.3% | 0.0 |
 Curtis DouglasC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:55 | 0.21 | 86.6% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | L | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 1.40 | +0.4 | 56:46 |