Sat, Dec 6, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
New York Islanders 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 77% of the time.
71%
16%
TBL winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Horvat–Heineman–Shabanov | Duclair–Holmstrom–Ritchie | Lee–Barzal–Tsyplakov | Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb | Horvat–Holmstrom–Heineman | Horvat–Heineman–Gatcomb | Pulock–Schaefer | Pelech–DeAngelo | Mayfield–Boqvist | Mayfield–Pelech | Pelech–Pulock | Mayfield–Schaefer | DeAngelo–Schaefer | Pulock–DeAngelo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 2:160.07–0.11 | 6:150.12–0.00 | 6:020.11–0.00 | 2:500.49–0.11 | 0:390.04–0.04 | |||||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 4:560.04–0.01 | 1:460.00–0.11 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 1:220.30–0.00 | 2:230.18–0.01 | 4:010.25–0.01 | 1:590.01–0.04 | |||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Paul–James | 0:430.05–0.00 | 4:160.24–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.14 | 2:000.06–0.14 | 1:340.02–0.00 | 2:230.21–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Douglas–Finley–Goncalves | 0:300.16–0.05 | 3:340.16–0.00 | 0:500.16–0.05 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 2:330.16–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gourde–Guentzel–Hagel | 0:430.00–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Paul–Holmberg–James | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Paul–Goncalves | 0:410.03–0.00 | 0:580.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Paul–Finley–Goncalves | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Hedman–Crozier | 1:440.05–0.00 | 4:010.16–0.04 | 0:450.00–0.06 | 3:360.03–0.13 | 0:430.13–0.00 | 3:370.07–0.21 | 2:440.15–0.00 | 3:520.13–0.04 | 1:380.03–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | ||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 1:290.00–0.21 | 1:420.13–0.03 | 7:120.28–0.08 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 7:390.27–0.11 | 2:130.07–0.14 | 1:200.08–0.07 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||
| D'Astous–Lilleberg | 5:550.10–0.01 | 2:310.01–0.00 | 2:360.05–0.01 | 0:330.18–0.00 | 2:140.20–0.01 | 4:430.15–0.01 | 4:020.07–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:380.00–0.07 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 0:380.40–0.00 | 0:430.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| D'Astous–Crozier |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 26 | 24:27 | 0:56 | 3:04 | 3 | 1 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 20 | 23:28 | 1:10 | 3:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 22:39 | 1:05 | 3:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 24 | 22:38 | 0:57 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 23 | 22:22 | 0:58 | 3:14 | 7 | 3 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 20 | 22:13 | 1:07 | 2:41 | 3 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 22 | 22:04 | 1:00 | 3:14 | 4 | 4 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 24 | 21:56 | 0:55 | 1:31 | 0 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 21:33 | 0:59 | 3:14 | 4 | 5 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 21 | 19:11 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 1 | 5 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 18 | 18:45 | 1:03 | 3:04 | 1 | 2 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 23 | 18:39 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 1 | 3 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 19 | 18:16 | 0:58 | 2:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 25 | 18:15 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 5 | 5 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 15 | 17:57 | 1:12 | 3:47 | 3 | 4 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 16 | 17:36 | 1:06 | 1:45 | 3 | 1 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 19 | 16:44 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 18 | 16:43 | 0:56 | 1:57 | 2 | 1 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 17 | 16:38 | 0:59 | 2:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 20 | 16:25 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 0 | 4 |
 Maxim ShabanovNYI | 15 | 15:44 | 1:03 | 2:03 | 3 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 19 | 14:21 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 3 | 0 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 16 | 14:13 | 0:53 | 1:56 | 4 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 18 | 14:04 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 1 | 5 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 18 | 13:45 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 13 | 13:43 | 1:03 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 15 | 13:43 | 0:55 | 1:28 | 3 | 0 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 12 | 13:06 | 1:06 | 2:09 | 2 | 2 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 15 | 12:56 | 0:52 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 16 | 12:41 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Adam BoqvistNYI | 13 | 11:46 | 0:54 | 1:43 | 1 | 2 |
 Maxim TsyplakovNYI | 13 | 10:35 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 3 | 0 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 14 | 10:32 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 2 | 2 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 14 | 10:29 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Jack FinleyTBL | 13 | 8:50 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 8 | 5:55 | 0:44 | 0:58 | 1 | 0 |