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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 7, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

San Jose Sharks 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 57% of the time.

CAR winsSJS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SJS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Celebrini–GrafToffoli–Wennberg–EklundGoodrow–Gaudette–OstapchukSkinner–Kurashev–DellandreaEklund–Smith–CelebriniSkinner–Gaudette–DellandreaKurashev–Dellandrea–EklundOrlov–LiljegrenLeddy–DickinsonKlingberg–FerraroFerraro–LiljegrenOrlov–KlingbergLeddy–OrlovOrlov–FerraroFerraro–Dickinson
Ehlers–Stankoven–Blake0:390.00–0.004:030.38–0.340:400.00–0.000:360.00–0.133:200.31–0.002:520.20–0.300:300.00–0.00
Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis4:330.00–0.051:130.06–0.000:430.09–0.003:510.10–0.000:300.00–0.002:530.12–0.05
Hall–Robinson–Kotkaniemi5:150.00–0.010:310.00–0.000:320.00–0.112:590.05–0.011:390.00–0.001:420.00–0.00
Staal–Martinook–Carrier1:000.00–0.093:240.09–0.002:210.02–0.092:190.04–0.100:470.04–0.00
Hall–Aho–Blake0:440.00–0.000:570.01–0.011:130.17–0.001:230.21–0.001:580.00–0.140:390.13–0.01
Staal–Ehlers–Jarvis1:350.18–0.000:540.13–0.000:340.09–0.020:300.01–0.001:440.05–0.001:070.01–0.02
Martinook–Svechnikov–Stankoven1:020.00–0.030:450.02–0.000:320.09–0.000:550.02–0.001:580.09–0.03
Carrier–Robinson–Kotkaniemi1:130.02–0.000:570.00–0.000:310.00–0.021:140.02–0.000:420.00–0.00
Walker–Miller6:080.41–0.093:500.23–0.001:260.00–0.002:030.32–0.060:500.11–0.007:190.45–0.114:040.21–0.003:490.16–0.17
Gostisbehere–Chatfield2:510.03–0.154:270.17–0.000:530.00–0.012:070.02–0.240:440.00–0.002:360.03–0.246:030.18–0.134:230.12–0.280:340.00–0.07
Reilly–Nikishin6:120.10–0.032:280.15–0.081:090.09–0.113:180.06–0.013:140.19–0.003:030.01–0.350:440.00–0.00
Chatfield–Miller1:130.02–0.001:150.02–0.00
Chatfield–Nikishin0:500.00–0.020:420.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FCarrier FMartinook FAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FStankoven FEhlers FBlake FRobinson FHall FKotkaniemi FMiller DWalker DGostisbehere DChatfield DReilly DNikishin DKochetkov GSmith FGraf FCelebrini FWennberg FEklund FToffoli FKurashev FSkinner FDellandrea FGoodrow FOstapchuk FGaudette FOrlov DLiljegren DKlingberg DFerraro DLeddy DDickinson DNedeljkovic G
CARSJSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

K'Andre MillerCAR2622:220:521:5733
Sean WalkerCAR2621:470:501:4364
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2421:350:541:43111
Mario FerraroSJS2321:010:551:4725
Dmitry OrlovSJS2320:560:551:4207
Timothy LiljegrenSJS2820:300:441:20110
Sebastian AhoCAR1919:451:022:4850
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2119:320:561:4851
Nick LeddySJS2119:130:551:5503
Seth JarvisCAR2019:100:581:4340
Jackson BlakeCAR2019:020:571:3850
John KlingbergSJS2318:430:491:4833
Alexander WennbergSJS2018:360:561:4345
Macklin CelebriniSJS2118:120:521:3324
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1717:491:032:0630
Sam DickinsonSJS1817:380:591:4713
William EklundSJS1817:030:571:2435
Alexander NikishinCAR2016:590:512:0260
Collin GrafSJS2216:320:451:1515
Will SmithSJS2015:500:481:3813
Ty DellandreaSJS2615:480:361:22010
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1915:380:491:2940
Logan StankovenCAR1615:140:571:2630
Taylor HallCAR1713:590:491:2651
Jordan StaalCAR2113:580:401:3174
Mike ReillyCAR1713:330:482:1530
Tyler ToffoliSJS1813:230:451:2434
Adam GaudetteSJS1613:030:491:2123
Philipp KurashevSJS2012:550:391:1402
Barclay GoodrowSJS1812:450:431:0524
Jordan MartinookCAR2012:320:381:0844
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1512:270:502:0231
Jeff SkinnerSJS2012:160:371:0302
Eric RobinsonCAR1311:490:552:0231
William CarrierCAR1411:080:481:3551
Zack OstapchukSJS1811:020:370:5525