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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 9, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Montréal Canadiens 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Final

Home

Montréal Canadiens

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.

MTL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by D'Astous, saved by Dobes
  3. P1 0:39Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dobes
  4. P1 1:01Shot by Suzuki, saved by Johansson
  5. P1 1:04Shot by Suzuki, saved by Johansson
  6. P1 1:14Shot by Suzuki, saved by Johansson
  7. P1 1:31Shot by Dobson, saved by Johansson
  8. P1 2:08Shot by Kapanen, saved by Johansson
  9. P1 2:27Goal by Point (Guentzel, Bjorkstrand)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Struble, Kapanen, Hutson, Davidson, Demidov · TBL Sabourin, Point, D'Astous, Douglas, Lilleberg

  10. P1 3:36Shot by Crozier, saved by Dobes
  11. P1 3:56Holmberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Hutson · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Crozier

  12. P1 3:56Gallagher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Hutson · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Crozier

  13. P1 3:56Crozier: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Hutson · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Crozier

  14. P1 4:52Shot by Raddysh, saved by Dobes5v4
  15. P1 6:03Goal by Holmberg, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Kapanen, Demidov · TBL Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Holmberg

  16. P1 8:32Shot by Hedman, saved by Dobes
  17. P1 9:40Shot by D'Astous, saved by Dobes
  18. P1 9:46Shot by D'Astous, saved by Dobes
  19. P1 10:44Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Johansson
  20. P1 10:56Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dobes
  21. P1 10:57Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dobes
  22. P1 16:02Shot by Texier, saved by Johansson
  23. P1 17:12Goal by Kucherov (Crozier)+9 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Veleno, Struble, Davidson, Demidov · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier

  24. P1 18:59Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Dobes
  25. P1 19:23Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Dobes
  26. P1 0:00D'Astous: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Slafkovský, Demidov · TBL Bjorkstrand, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous

  27. P1 0:00Period end6v4
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:02Shot by Hutson, saved by Johansson5v4
  30. P2 1:15Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Johansson5v4
  31. P2 1:16Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Johansson5v4
  32. P2 2:43Goal by D'Astous (Kucherov)+5 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Carrier · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, D'Astous

  33. P2 4:10Shot by Carrier, saved by Johansson
  34. P2 4:44Kucherov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Slafkovský · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  35. P2 5:03Shot by Caufield, saved by Johansson5v4
  36. P2 6:31Shot by Caufield, saved by Johansson5v4
  37. P2 7:10Shot by Dobson, saved by Johansson
  38. P2 7:38Shot by Dobson, saved by Johansson
  39. P2 7:55Shot by Anderson, saved by Johansson
  40. P2 9:07Shot by D'Astous, saved by Montembeault
  41. P2 11:30Shot by Hutson, saved by Johansson
  42. P2 12:33Xhekaj: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Veleno, Xhekaj, Slafkovský, Davidson · TBL Paul, Raddysh, Hagel, Douglas, Lilleberg

  43. P2 12:36Shot by Matheson, saved by Johansson4v5
  44. P2 12:47Shot by Evans, saved by Johansson4v5
  45. P2 13:53Shot by Guentzel, saved by Montembeault4v5
  46. P2 14:07Shot by Point, saved by Montembeault4v5
  47. P2 16:00Shot by Hutson, saved by Johansson
  48. P2 18:10D'Astous: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Texier, Dobson, Kapanen, Demidov · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous, Crozier

  49. P2 18:36Shot by Kapanen, saved by Johansson5v4
  50. P2 19:06Goal by Kapanen (Suzuki, Demidov)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Kapanen, Demidov · TBL Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:22Goal by Raddysh (Cirelli)+2 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Slafkovský · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, D'Astous

  54. P3 3:11Shot by Gourde, saved by Montembeault
  55. P3 4:08Shot by Kucherov, saved by Montembeault
  56. P3 5:02Shot by Demidov, saved by Johansson
  57. P3 5:49Shot by Carrier, saved by Johansson
  58. P3 5:54Bolduc: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Veleno, Bolduc, Xhekaj, Davidson · TBL Sabourin, Paul, D'Astous, Douglas, Lilleberg

  59. P3 8:05Shot by Girgensons, saved by Montembeault
  60. P3 8:22Shot by Girgensons, saved by Montembeault
  61. P3 8:37Xhekaj: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Veleno, Bolduc, Xhekaj, Davidson · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Holmberg, Moser, Lilleberg

  62. P3 8:41Goal by Raddysh (Point)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Carrier · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Bjorkstrand, Point, Raddysh

  63. P3 13:46Shot by Holmberg, saved by Montembeault
  64. P3 13:47Shot by Girgensons, saved by Montembeault
  65. P3 14:11Shot by Crozier, saved by Montembeault
  66. P3 15:16Sabourin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Xhekaj · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Raddysh, D'Astous, Douglas

  67. P3 15:16Anderson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Xhekaj · TBL Sabourin, Paul, Raddysh, D'Astous, Douglas

  68. P3 16:10Shot by Davidson, saved by Johansson
  69. P3 17:51Shot by Suzuki, saved by Johansson
  70. P3 19:03Lilleberg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Veleno, Dobson, Bolduc, Davidson · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Lilleberg

  71. P3 19:03Davidson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Veleno, Dobson, Bolduc, Davidson · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Lilleberg

  72. P3 19:36Shot by Matheson, saved by Johansson4v4
  73. P3 0:00Period end4v4
  74. P3 0:00Final4v4