Tue, Dec 9, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Montréal Canadiens 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.
33%
9%
9%
50%
MTL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MTL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Point | Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Sabourin–Paul–Douglas | Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | D'Astous–Lilleberg | Raddysh–Moser | D'Astous–Crozier | Crozier–Moser | Hedman–Crozier | Raddysh–D'Astous | Moser–Lilleberg | Raddysh–Lilleberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský | 2:260.00–0.19 | 2:090.00–0.09 | 4:420.48–0.59 | 1:080.05–0.00 | 2:560.00–0.09 | 6:110.41–0.12 | 0:400.00–0.11 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.56 | ||||
| Veleno–Bolduc–Davidson | 1:100.00–0.08 | 1:210.00–0.10 | 4:580.20–0.05 | 3:550.17–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:150.03–0.05 | 1:150.00–0.10 | 1:040.00–0.08 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||
| Texier–Kapanen–Demidov | 1:270.00–0.57 | 4:230.16–0.04 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:390.04–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.57 | 1:270.13–0.00 | ||||
| Gallagher–Anderson–Evans | 3:020.07–0.48 | 1:560.01–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.15 | 2:390.00–0.05 | 1:250.07–0.45 | 1:070.00–0.03 | 1:250.00–0.15 | 0:370.01–0.00 | ||||
| Anderson–Evans–Texier | 1:230.16–0.00 | 0:390.27–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Texier–Bolduc–Demidov | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Matheson–Dobson | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 5:290.36–0.59 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:410.16–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 3:530.36–0.12 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.02 | 1:040.16–0.48 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |
| Carrier–Xhekaj | 3:310.07–0.62 | 3:210.20–0.05 | 4:260.17–0.09 | 2:030.07–0.45 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:090.03–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Struble–Hutson | 1:290.00–0.00 | 5:350.26–0.00 | 2:480.04–0.16 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:410.12–0.00 | 1:010.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Struble–Xhekaj | 1:070.00–0.10 | 2:290.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:580.02–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.10 | |||||||
| Carrier–Hutson | 1:100.00–0.65 | 1:310.00–0.09 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Matheson–Carrier | 0:370.00–0.00 | 2:360.00–0.15 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.15 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dobson–Hutson | 2:000.00–0.11 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:450.12–0.00 | |||||||||
| Matheson–Hutson | 0:470.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MTLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 25 | 24:26 | 0:59 | 3:34 | 4 | 5 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 29 | 23:46 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 1 | 1 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 30 | 23:45 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 25 | 22:13 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 2 | 3 |
 Mike MathesonMTL | 24 | 22:04 | 0:55 | 2:44 | 1 | 5 |
 Alexandre CarrierMTL | 23 | 20:52 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 2 | 1 |
 Lane HutsonMTL | 21 | 20:14 | 0:58 | 1:40 | 2 | 0 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 21 | 19:45 | 0:56 | 2:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 20 | 19:28 | 0:58 | 1:58 | 4 | 0 |
 Noah DobsonMTL | 22 | 19:24 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 3 | 2 |
 Cole CaufieldMTL | 21 | 18:02 | 0:52 | 2:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 19 | 17:44 | 0:56 | 2:01 | 4 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 17:43 | 0:53 | 2:06 | 4 | 2 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 19 | 16:54 | 0:53 | 1:50 | 2 | 1 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 20 | 16:41 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 2 | 1 |
 Oliver KapanenMTL | 18 | 16:24 | 0:55 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Arber XhekajMTL | 18 | 16:01 | 0:53 | 2:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 17 | 15:59 | 0:56 | 2:00 | 4 | 1 |
 Ivan DemidovMTL | 18 | 15:48 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Zachary BolducMTL | 19 | 15:47 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 18 | 15:44 | 0:52 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 20 | 15:18 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 18 | 14:58 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 0 | 3 |
 Jayden StrubleMTL | 15 | 14:49 | 0:59 | 2:10 | 0 | 0 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 18 | 14:44 | 0:49 | 1:54 | 2 | 1 |
 Alexandre TexierMTL | 17 | 14:38 | 0:52 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Jake EvansMTL | 21 | 14:08 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Joseph VelenoMTL | 17 | 12:59 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 16 | 12:46 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 4 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 16 | 12:34 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 20 | 12:32 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 14 | 12:22 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 0 | 1 |
 Jared DavidsonMTL | 15 | 12:15 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 12 | 9:49 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 0 | 1 |
 Scott SabourinTBL | 11 | 8:26 | 0:46 | 1:06 | 0 | 0 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 8 | 6:14 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 0 | 0 |