Tue, Dec 9, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Montréal Canadiens 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.
33%
9%
9%
50%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 24:26 | 0.54 | 69.6% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 5 | 23:46 | 0.21 | 80.2% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:45 | 0.02 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:13 | 0.08 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.29 | 26.7% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.30 | 39.4% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.12 | 58.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.05 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.07 | 32.4% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.26 | 95.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.02 | 67.9% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14:58 | 0.80 | 95.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.08 | 67.0% | +2.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.51 | 83.0% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.05 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:26 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:14 | 0.10 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 3.07 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.06 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.05 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.15 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 19:45 | 0.51 | 33.6% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:24 | 0.24 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.38 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.48 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.46 | 22.9% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.07 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.04 | 14.3% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.06 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.08 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.08 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.01 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.24 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.17 | 30.0% | 0.0 |
| – | 13 | 10 | 3 | .769 | 2.11 | −0.9 | 40:00 | |
| L | 14 | 11 | 3 | .786 | 1.39 | −1.6 | 19:50 |