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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 13, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Washington Capitals 1, Winnipeg Jets 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 70% of the time.

WPG winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Dowd–Duhaime–TrineyevOvechkin–Strome–BeauvillierWilson–Protas–SourdifMcMichael–Lapierre–FrankBeauvillier–Lapierre–FrankOvechkin–Protas–SourdifWilson–Strome–McMichaelDowd–Duhaime–ProtasWilson–Sourdif–FrankRoy–Chychrunvan Riemsdyk–SandinCarlson–FehérváryCarlson–SandinRoy–Sandinvan Riemsdyk–FehérváryRoy–Fehérváryvan Riemsdyk–Chychrun
Scheifele–Connor–Vilardi4:020.13–0.381:550.09–0.001:420.39–0.001:110.21–0.080:550.06–0.001:080.00–0.004:540.40–0.132:100.39–0.332:440.09–0.000:350.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Niederreiter–Namestnikov–Perfetti2:510.09–0.072:350.01–0.060:400.00–0.001:110.03–0.001:270.09–0.100:390.00–0.000:370.01–0.003:220.01–0.042:490.00–0.090:530.00–0.012:190.20–0.090:480.00–0.00
Lowry–Iafallo–Barron1:090.22–0.002:470.18–0.050:380.00–0.000:300.00–0.002:120.01–0.060:390.00–0.001:330.11–0.002:300.01–0.000:490.07–0.001:540.00–0.060:490.22–0.000:580.00–0.00
Toews–Nyquist–Koepke1:420.00–0.110:490.05–0.001:480.01–0.000:540.00–0.231:530.01–0.001:140.00–0.011:310.00–0.050:320.05–0.000:330.00–0.100:430.00–0.19
Toews–Niederreiter–Perfetti
Samberg–Pionk0:430.01–0.003:290.23–0.063:290.21–0.051:270.00–0.000:520.02–0.050:480.09–0.001:390.01–0.063:140.11–0.002:270.24–0.002:480.07–0.062:020.00–0.101:110.27–0.000:560.10–0.00
DeMelo–Morrissey1:300.00–0.002:170.09–0.001:400.45–0.000:490.03–0.000:380.00–0.090:390.00–0.002:430.03–0.002:380.43–0.001:490.09–0.000:320.00–0.001:040.03–0.090:390.00–0.00
Schenn–Stanley4:020.20–0.380:310.00–0.001:240.01–0.042:130.33–0.091:430.00–0.331:350.00–0.001:160.00–0.000:380.08–0.00
Schenn–Samberg0:360.00–0.040:400.00–0.000:550.01–0.081:050.01–0.080:360.00–0.04
Morrissey–Stanley1:090.00–0.000:320.15–0.000:310.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
DeMelo–Stanley0:330.00–0.100:420.06–0.000:570.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:350.00–0.10
Schenn–DeMelo
Schenn–Morrissey1:000.00–0.040:390.00–0.04
Stanley–Pionk0:430.00–0.191:040.00–0.19
DeMelo–Samberg0:370.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNamestnikov FNiederreiter FPerfetti FBarron FIafallo FLowry FVilardi FScheifele FConnor FNyquist FToews FKoepke FDeMelo DMorrissey DSamberg DPionk DStanley DSchenn DHellebuyck GOvechkin FStrome FBeauvillier FMcMichael FLapierre FFrank FProtas FWilson FSourdif FDuhaime FDowd FTrineyev FSandin Dvan Riemsdyk DCarlson DFehérváry DRoy DChychrun DThompson G
WPGWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dylan SambergWPG2823:000:492:0115
Neal PionkWPG2621:280:501:3525
Rasmus SandinWSH2421:090:531:3513
Dylan DeMeloWPG2620:320:472:0240
John CarlsonWSH2219:550:542:0011
Jakob ChychrunWSH1719:401:092:5112
Kyle ConnorWPG2018:350:562:0260
Alex OvechkinWSH1818:191:012:2350
Tom WilsonWSH2018:160:552:0644
Matt RoyWSH2118:140:521:2305
Dylan StromeWSH1817:551:001:5251
Josh MorrisseyWPG2317:490:462:3340
Cole PerfettiWPG1917:220:552:5432
Mark ScheifeleWPG1917:170:552:0360
Martin FehérváryWSH2017:150:521:3903
Anthony BeauvillierWSH2217:120:471:3724
Luke SchennWPG2216:470:462:0421
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2016:470:501:2014
Ethen FrankWSH2016:250:491:2442
Justin SourdifWSH2016:180:491:1422
Logan StanleyWPG1916:080:511:3540
Nino NiederreiterWPG1915:450:501:2232
Gabriel VilardiWPG1715:290:551:3150
Aliaksei ProtasWSH1914:500:471:2323
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG1814:450:491:1032
Nic DowdWSH1914:360:461:1914
Adam LowryWPG2214:160:391:0612
Morgan BarronWPG2314:110:371:1526
Connor McMichaelWSH2113:540:401:1213
Brandon DuhaimeWSH2013:120:401:0913
Gustav NyquistWPG2013:070:391:3241
Cole KoepkeWPG1911:480:371:1134
Bogdan TrineyevWSH1611:450:441:1102
Jonathan ToewsWPG2011:050:331:2142
Alex IafalloWPG1910:530:341:0022
Hendrix LapierreWSH159:560:401:0202