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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 16, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 2, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

New York Islanders

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 84% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Drouin, saved by Gibson
  3. P1 2:09Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 4:27Goal by Heineman (Barzal, Drouin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · NYI Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  5. P1 7:56Shot by Lee, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 8:20Shot by Duclair, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 8:27Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 8:44Shot by Copp, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 9:06Shot by Kasper, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 9:31Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 14:02Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 14:06Shot by Chiarot, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 16:26Shot by Finnie, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 16:40Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 17:35Shot by Lee, saved by Gibson
  16. P1 17:51Shot by Barzal, saved by Gibson
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:19Shot by Heineman, saved by Gibson
  20. P2 0:45Shot by Pulock, saved by Gibson
  21. P2 8:49Shot by Leonard, saved by Sorokin
  22. P2 9:12Shot by MacLean, saved by Gibson
  23. P2 9:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Gibson
  24. P2 10:38Shot by Raymond, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 12:59Shot by Leonard, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 13:36Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 15:21Shot by Pelech, saved by Gibson
  28. P2 17:28Shot by MacLean, saved by Gibson
  29. P2 17:39Shot by Finnie, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 18:10Edvinsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · NYI Pelech, Drouin, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  31. P2 19:10Shot by Schaefer, saved by Gibson4v5
  32. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  33. P3 0:00Period start
  34. P3 0:31Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Gibson
  35. P3 0:40Shot by Heineman, saved by Gibson
  36. P3 1:47Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin
  37. P3 2:03Goal by Sandin-Pellikka (Raymond)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Rasmussen, Raymond, Sandin-Pellikka · NYI Duclair, Pulock, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov

  38. P3 3:10Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  39. P3 3:17Schaefer: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · NYI Drouin, Pulock, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  40. P3 3:55Goal by DeBrincat (Seider, Raymond)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom

  41. P3 4:52Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  42. P3 11:26Goal by Mayfield (Pageau, Lee)+38 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Holmstrom, Mitchell

  43. P3 12:40Shot by Lee, saved by Gibson
  44. P3 13:20Shot by Kasper, saved by Sorokin
  45. P3 15:24Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  46. P3 16:50Mayfield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Drouin, Barzal, Heineman

  47. P3 17:43Goal by DeBrincat (Seider, Raymond)5v4+42 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom

  48. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  49. P3 0:00Final5v6