Tue, Dec 16, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
New York Islanders 2, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 84% of the time.
78%
10%
DET winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Drouin–Barzal–Heineman | Lee–Pageau–Holmstrom | Duclair–Ritchie–Shabanov | Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb | Cizikas–Duclair–Shabanov | Pulock–Schaefer | Pelech–DeAngelo | Mayfield–Mitchell | Mayfield–DeAngelo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larkin–Raymond–Finnie | 8:570.76–0.37 | 1:150.22–0.00 | 2:290.11–0.00 | 10:280.76–0.27 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:320.22–0.00 | |||
| Copp–DeBrincat–Leonard | 0:300.04–0.00 | 2:240.00–0.22 | 5:190.47–0.03 | 0:400.02–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:380.23–0.24 | 3:100.20–0.00 | 3:150.09–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 |
| van Riemsdyk–Compher–Rasmussen | 2:430.34–0.14 | 6:210.05–0.22 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.14 | 4:470.02–0.00 | 3:100.36–0.22 | |||
| Soderblom–Kasper–Danielson | 0:590.11–0.00 | 1:030.13–0.00 | 4:170.02–0.04 | 1:270.07–0.00 | 2:450.02–0.03 | 3:190.23–0.04 | |||
| Seider–Edvinsson | 9:391.21–0.20 | 3:560.41–0.01 | 3:190.12–0.00 | 8:240.67–0.04 | 3:170.23–0.06 | 5:440.86–0.01 | |||
| Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka | 3:330.15–0.37 | 3:370.02–0.00 | 2:560.45–0.02 | 4:020.02–0.03 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 5:210.31–0.39 | 7:330.21–0.03 | 1:320.00–0.00 | |
| Bernard-Docker–Johansson | 5:210.10–0.27 | 2:460.09–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.01 | 2:450.07–0.00 | 2:090.01–0.00 | 5:360.12–0.27 | 0:570.00–0.05 | ||
| Chiarot–Edvinsson | 0:370.00–0.22 | 1:000.01–0.22 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 24 | 25:56 | 1:05 | 2:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Simon EdvinssonDET | 30 | 25:05 | 0:50 | 2:13 | 1 | 3 |
 Moritz SeiderDET | 29 | 24:23 | 0:50 | 2:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 25 | 22:42 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 22 | 22:26 | 1:01 | 2:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Ben ChiarotDET | 25 | 21:04 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 23 | 20:55 | 0:55 | 1:47 | 1 | 6 |
 Jonathan DrouinNYI | 21 | 20:47 | 0:59 | 2:30 | 4 | 1 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 24 | 19:51 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 25 | 18:59 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 4 | 4 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 24 | 17:47 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 3 | 3 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET | 22 | 17:36 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Emmitt FinnieDET | 23 | 17:25 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 22 | 16:57 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 21 | 16:51 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 21 | 16:50 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 4 | 0 |
 Maxim ShabanovNYI | 14 | 16:15 | 1:10 | 2:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 19 | 16:14 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 0 | 0 |
 Albert JohanssonDET | 20 | 15:55 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 21 | 15:27 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerDET | 19 | 15:06 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 1 | 3 |
 Travis MitchellNYI | 18 | 15:04 | 0:50 | 2:08 | 1 | 0 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 14 | 15:00 | 1:04 | 1:58 | 3 | 1 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 22 | 14:58 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 3 | 5 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 20 | 14:42 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 2 | 3 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 20 | 14:37 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 0 | 5 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 20 | 14:24 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 1 | 5 |
 James van RiemsdykDET | 16 | 13:45 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 John LeonardDET | 19 | 13:02 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 18 | 12:43 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 2 | 4 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 16 | 11:45 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 11 | 11:28 | 1:03 | 2:06 | 1 | 1 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 16 | 11:13 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 2 |
 Elmer SoderblomDET | 15 | 10:43 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Marco KasperDET | 14 | 10:22 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Nate DanielsonDET | 14 | 10:06 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 1 | 0 |