Tue, Dec 16, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
New York Islanders 2, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 84% of the time.
78%
10%
DET winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:56 | 0.21 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:42 | 0.04 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.10 | 30.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.08 | 30.4% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.06 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.05 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:57 | 0.23 | 30.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.07 | 3.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.11 | 22.9% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.24 | 80.4% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.01 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.02 | 3.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 80.1% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:42 | 0.09 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.07 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 6.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.88 | −0.1 | 58:06 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.20 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 24:23 | 0.06 | 89.5% | +71.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.02 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.93 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.38 | 74.2% | +92.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.07 | 62.9% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.15 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.19 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16:50 | 0.37 | 62.1% | +71.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.21 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.37 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.22 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.07 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:22 | 0.13 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 80.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.38 | −0.6 | 60:00 |