Tue, Dec 16, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Edmonton Oilers 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 61% of the time.
31%
54%
PIT winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.35 | 80.7% | +30.6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 22:31 | 1.52 | 76.5% | +46.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.03 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.64 | 74.9% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.25 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.02 | 27.4% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.08 | 78.7% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.11 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.52 | 52.3% | +51.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.02 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 68.4% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.12 | 57.2% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:34 | 0.31 | 47.2% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.10 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:42 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:59 | 0.02 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:17 | 0.00 | 4.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.30 | −0.7 | 59:55 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 24:11 | 0.12 | 60.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:07 | 0.24 | 42.6% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23:59 | 1.00 | 42.6% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:20 | 0.43 | 40.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.05 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:06 | 0.45 | 55.6% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.09 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.01 | 66.2% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.07 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.05 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.10 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:06 | 0.26 | 67.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:42 | 0.15 | 91.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.26 | 68.8% | +14.6 |
| L | 22 | 17 | 5 | .773 | 3.43 | −1.6 | 57:26 |