Sat, Dec 20, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.
49%
8%
35%
BUF winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:25 | 0.07 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:36 | 0.22 | 34.5% | +50.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 23:33 | 0.72 | 60.0% | +64.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:55 | 0.18 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.02 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.11 | 52.6% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 10 | 18:49 | 0.54 | 55.9% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.73 | 51.8% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.00 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.03 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.04 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.24 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:57 | 0.25 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.06 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.29 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.01 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 3.68 | +1.7 | 62:39 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 25:52 | 0.59 | 68.0% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:12 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.23 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:48 | 0.48 | 46.5% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:06 | 0.47 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.21 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.39 | 47.7% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.55 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.06 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.09 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.45 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.06 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.17 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 45.4% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.09 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.12 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.54 | +1.5 | 64:55 |