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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 20, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 57% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Adam PelechD · #3000+1126:250.0757.4%0.0
Matthew SchaeferD · #48011−1323:360.2234.5%+50.9
Mathew BarzalC · #13112+1423:330.7260.0%+64.3
Tony DeAngeloD · #770000322:550.1856.1%0.0
Ryan PulockD · #6000−1220:180.0227.0%0.0
Anders LeeLW · #27011+1020:040.1152.6%+13.4
Emil HeinemanLW · #51101−11018:490.5455.9%+50.9
Simon HolmstromRW · #10011+1217:490.7351.8%+13.4
Scott MayfieldD · #24000+1117:480.0085.1%0.0
Jonathan DrouinLW · #29000−1017:160.0355.3%0.0
Casey CizikasC · #530000016:180.0447.4%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44000−1315:340.2443.9%0.0
Kyle MacLeanC · #320000013:550.0050.6%0.0
Calum RitchieC · #640000212:570.2550.1%0.0
Maxim TsyplakovRW · #70000112:080.0645.2%0.0
Marc GatcombC · #160000111:140.2958.3%0.0
Anthony DuclairLW · #110000010:480.0044.6%0.0
Marshall WarrenD · #41000019:510.0157.0%0.0
David Rittich#33O32302.9383.68+1.762:39

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus DahlinD · #26101+1525:520.5968.0%+9.5
Mattias SamuelssonD · #23000+1024:120.0062.3%0.0
Bowen ByramD · #40000122:490.2361.1%0.0
Tage ThompsonC · #721010422:480.4846.5%+13.8
Alex TuchRW · #890000521:060.4770.0%0.0
Josh NorrisC · #90000219:390.2176.3%0.0
Josh DoanRW · #910110219:090.3947.7%+13.8
Zach BensonLW · #60000218:250.5532.3%0.0
Michael KesselringD · #8000−1217:280.0630.7%0.0
Ryan McLeodC · #710000017:060.0026.5%0.0
Owen PowerD · #25000−1217:050.0925.8%0.0
Jack QuinnRW · #220000215:240.4525.7%0.0
Noah OstlundC · #860000114:420.0671.8%0.0
Zach MetsaD · #730000114:050.1758.8%0.0
Peyton KrebsC · #190110013:290.0045.4%+13.8
Josh DunneC · #440000110:200.0968.3%0.0
Jordan GreenwayLW · #12000019:330.0066.4%0.0
Beck MalenstynLW · #29000018:550.1266.4%0.0
Alex Lyon#34W34322.9413.54+1.564:55