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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 20, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 79% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Nylander–MaccelliMatthews–Knies–CowanRoy–Robertson–McMannJarnkrok–Laughton–JoshuaJoshua–Roy–McMannJarnkrok–Laughton–RobertsonNylander–Roy–MaccelliMcCabe–StecherEkman-Larsson–BenoitRielly–MyersEkman-Larsson–RiellyMyers–BenoitEkman-Larsson–McCabeStecher–BenoitRielly–StecherEkman-Larsson–StecherRielly–McCabeEkman-Larsson–Myers
McCarron–Smith–Schaefer3:250.18–0.050:310.03–0.000:400.15–0.001:340.00–0.050:530.00–0.002:580.01–0.090:570.03–0.001:240.00–0.001:080.15–0.00
Stamkos–O'Reilly–Forsberg3:490.26–0.500:450.02–0.000:370.08–0.002:300.06–0.500:470.02–0.000:330.18–0.000:300.00–0.00
Jost–Svechkov–Wood0:580.00–0.080:460.03–0.001:100.00–0.042:240.04–0.002:210.00–0.120:460.00–0.000:400.03–0.001:210.04–0.00
Haula–Bunting–Evangelista1:590.09–0.060:350.00–0.000:410.10–0.000:320.01–0.001:340.32–0.001:120.00–0.050:370.10–0.000:320.00–0.00
Stamkos–Haula–Bunting0:500.00–0.030:540.02–0.000:560.01–0.001:040.11–0.031:180.01–0.030:560.02–0.00
O'Reilly–Forsberg–Evangelista2:310.11–0.002:260.11–0.00
Haula–Bunting–Jost1:090.10–0.141:100.10–0.12
McCarron–Bunting–Smith0:590.00–0.030:420.00–0.03
O'Reilly–Bunting–Evangelista0:340.08–0.11
Forsberg–Svechkov–Wood0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Jost–Evangelista–Svechkov0:490.02–0.000:410.02–0.00
Josi–Perbix4:390.12–0.071:350.01–0.052:120.18–0.182:090.00–0.050:530.00–0.004:200.11–0.213:160.04–0.051:420.02–0.090:520.09–0.000:390.15–0.00
Skjei–Wilsby1:590.08–0.217:300.46–0.501:460.04–0.300:340.00–0.085:090.42–0.382:480.14–0.501:110.06–0.001:050.00–0.111:180.04–0.000:530.21–0.110:390.00–0.09
Hague–Blankenburg3:250.25–0.220:390.37–0.003:530.19–0.042:420.01–0.000:370.01–0.000:300.00–0.003:220.46–0.093:240.08–0.033:200.28–0.121:370.17–0.000:300.00–0.00
Josi–Blankenburg0:330.21–0.00
Hague–Perbix
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndForsberg FEvangelista FO'Reilly FMcCarron FSchaefer FSmith FHaula FBunting FStamkos FSvechkov FJost FWood FSkjei DWilsby DPerbix DJosi DBlankenburg DHague DSaros GKnies FMatthews FCowan FNylander FMaccelli FTavares FRoy FMcMann FRobertson FJarnkrok FLaughton FJoshua FMcCabe DStecher DBenoit DEkman-Larsson DRielly DMyers DWoll G
NSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Troy StecherTOR2622:220:521:4003
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3122:150:431:1663
Jake McCabeTOR3121:570:421:3305
Roman JosiNSH2721:350:481:2260
Brady SkjeiNSH2720:430:461:3533
Nick PerbixNSH2420:170:511:5330
Adam WilsbyNSH2519:560:481:4631
Morgan RiellyTOR2619:190:451:2030
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2419:070:482:0151
William NylanderTOR2318:560:491:1312
Nicolas HagueNSH2318:280:481:3112
Matthew KniesTOR2418:280:461:1953
Auston MatthewsTOR2518:230:441:1353
Nick BlankenburgNSH2218:050:491:1523
Erik HaulaNSH2217:480:491:3210
Filip ForsbergNSH2317:450:461:3750
John TavaresTOR2317:450:461:2011
Steven StamkosNSH2116:490:481:2070
Michael BuntingNSH2016:460:501:2110
Simon BenoitTOR2516:270:391:3105
Matias MaccelliTOR2216:190:451:2112
Easton CowanTOR2016:170:491:2442
Nicolas RoyTOR2115:540:451:2113
Cole SmithNSH2115:160:441:2923
Luke EvangelistaNSH1715:010:531:3620
Michael McCarronNSH1814:250:481:1212
Philippe MyersTOR2014:070:421:4311
Nick RobertsonTOR1812:360:421:1922
Scott LaughtonTOR2012:060:361:0206
Reid SchaeferNSH1511:390:471:1622
Bobby McMannTOR1711:330:411:2013
Matthew WoodNSH1211:030:551:4430
Calle JarnkrokTOR1710:580:391:2004
Tyson JostNSH1210:440:541:3720
Dakota JoshuaTOR1510:350:421:1802
Fedor SvechkovNSH1110:340:581:3820