Sun, Dec 21, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Dallas Stars 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 53% of the time.
45%
9%
9%
38%
DAL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:38 | 0.34 | 79.7% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.20 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:26 | 0.30 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.10 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.02 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.07 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.11 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.40 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.19 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.09 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 15:19 | 0.31 | 62.5% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.74 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.00 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.23 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.03 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.05 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.55 | −1.5 | 59:02 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 26:06 | 0.02 | 54.0% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:45 | 0.06 | 60.3% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.02 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:43 | 0.25 | 32.9% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.26 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.13 | 25.4% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:48 | 1.36 | 56.2% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.01 | 16.8% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.07 | 19.2% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.21 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.00 | 64.1% | +19.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.04 | 62.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.01 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.23 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:27 | 0.38 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 9:49 | 0.31 | 57.4% | +11.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 3.17 | +2.2 | 60:00 |