Tue, Dec 23, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 83% of the time.
78%
11%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 6 | 22:42 | 0.16 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Parker WotherspoonD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 22:04 | 0.00 | 42.6% | +30.9 |
 Brett KulakD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:24 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.01 | 33.5% | +15.2 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.35 | 30.4% | +15.2 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.15 | 34.6% | +15.2 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.03 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.31 | 33.9% | 0.0 |
 Jack St. IvanyD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.23 | 55.1% | 0.0 |
 Tommy NovakC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.34 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.19 | 60.2% | +30.9 |
 Connor DewarC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.13 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin BrazeauRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.26 | 60.0% | +30.9 |
 Ben KindelC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.02 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
 Ville KoivunenRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Rutger McGroartyRW · #2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:16 | 0.15 | 49.0% | +13.6 |
 Kevin HayesRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.03 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Stuart Skinner#74 | L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.98 | −1.0 | 59:07 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 | 24:26 | 0.12 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.02 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.09 | 49.9% | +38.9 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:17 | 0.10 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.38 | 43.0% | +0.3 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 18:21 | 1.19 | 33.3% | +71.3 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.03 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.02 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.45 | 70.6% | +45.5 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:56 | 1.15 | 62.4% | +6.6 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.17 | 46.3% | +17.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.07 | 40.4% | +17.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:53 | 0.55 | 65.3% | +13.7 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.04 | 65.0% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.00 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 58.8% | +0.3 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.11 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.09 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.37 | −0.6 | 60:00 |