Tue, Dec 23, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 83% of the time.
78%
11%
TOR winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Crosby–Rust–Rakell | Mantha–Novak–Brazeau | Koivunen–McGroarty–Kindel | Hayes–Acciari–Dewar | Novak–Brazeau–Dewar | Rust–Mantha–Novak | Karlsson–Wotherspoon | Letang–Kulak | Shea–St. Ivany | Wotherspoon–St. Ivany | Kulak–St. Ivany | Letang–Karlsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domi–Matthews–McMann | 10:140.76–0.40 | 1:160.05–0.00 | 1:370.02–0.00 | 6:130.41–0.21 | 5:510.40–0.28 | 1:030.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli | 1:450.00–0.18 | 3:270.05–0.29 | 2:130.01–0.01 | 3:010.21–0.13 | 1:060.07–0.00 | 3:560.17–0.33 | 4:460.10–0.10 | 3:170.05–0.20 | ||||
| Laughton–Joshua–Lorentz | 3:550.05–0.10 | 3:440.02–0.07 | 0:300.01–0.00 | 3:070.55–0.29 | 2:230.01–0.00 | 3:200.05–0.02 | ||||||
| Roy–Robertson–Knies | 3:030.00–0.06 | 1:370.20–0.04 | 2:450.02–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 2:150.02–0.00 | 3:420.20–0.16 | ||||||
| Tanev–McCabe | 5:470.56–0.21 | 2:590.32–0.18 | 0:510.00–0.01 | 2:000.00–0.06 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 5:420.41–0.35 | 4:070.44–0.07 | 1:550.00–0.07 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.00 | ||
| Ekman-Larsson–Myers | 1:220.01–0.01 | 2:000.04–0.03 | 1:240.05–0.00 | 3:240.02–0.00 | 2:590.08–0.04 | 2:370.02–0.00 | 3:260.08–0.00 | |||||
| Rielly–Stecher | 1:160.01–0.04 | 0:360.01–0.00 | 4:250.20–0.10 | 1:580.02–0.00 | 2:070.01–0.11 | 3:420.02–0.00 | 2:350.20–0.04 | |||||
| McCabe–Stecher | 2:050.64–0.03 | 1:060.01–0.04 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 2:040.36–0.07 | 1:140.28–0.09 | 1:040.01–0.02 | ||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.13 | 1:480.02–0.13 | 1:320.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Rielly–Myers | 1:500.03–0.19 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:440.03–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.20 | ||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | 0:510.00–0.15 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.15 | |||||||
| Rielly–McCabe | 1:000.00–0.05 | 0:450.07–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.05 | |||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | 1:010.00–0.14 | 0:370.00–0.14 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake McCabeTOR | 32 | 24:26 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 2 | 5 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 25 | 22:42 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 2 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 22:36 | 0:48 | 2:32 | 5 | 4 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 24 | 22:04 | 0:55 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 30 | 21:10 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 8 | 3 |
 Brett KulakPIT | 22 | 20:24 | 0:56 | 1:53 | 4 | 3 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 23 | 20:11 | 0:53 | 1:53 | 5 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 19:17 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 5 | 4 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 25 | 19:05 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 18:26 | 0:53 | 2:25 | 6 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 18:21 | 0:55 | 2:30 | 5 | 1 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 23 | 18:21 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 1 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 23 | 17:37 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 1 | 5 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 21 | 17:27 | 0:50 | 1:10 | 0 | 4 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 28 | 17:23 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 24 | 17:18 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 5 | 2 |
 Jack St. IvanyPIT | 20 | 17:01 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Max DomiTOR | 21 | 16:56 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 2 | 3 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 22 | 16:56 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 20 | 16:10 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 21 | 15:11 | 0:43 | 2:03 | 3 | 2 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 17 | 14:53 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 1 | 1 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 19 | 14:52 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 2 | 1 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 18 | 14:41 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 2 | 6 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 17 | 13:28 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 2 | 7 |
 Justin BrazeauPIT | 16 | 13:09 | 0:49 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 17 | 12:53 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 0 | 5 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 19 | 12:49 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 6 | 1 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 17 | 12:42 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 0 | 5 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 17 | 12:33 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 1 | 5 |
 Ville KoivunenPIT | 16 | 12:18 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 4 | 1 |
 Rutger McGroartyPIT | 17 | 12:16 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 5 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 16 | 12:07 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |
 Kevin HayesPIT | 15 | 11:54 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 2 | 6 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 14 | 10:41 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 13 | 9:50 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |