Wed, Dec 31, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
New York Rangers 3, Washington Capitals 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 63% of the time.
55%
30%
WSH winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:07 | 0.14 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.53 | 66.3% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.06 | 46.5% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.17 | 47.5% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.08 | 39.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.02 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 20:14 | 0.73 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.15 | 48.8% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.08 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.06 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.13 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.40 | 72.1% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.07 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.01 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:18 | 0.32 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 6:39 | 0.14 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:45 | 0.23 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 3.26 | −1.7 | 59:10 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.05 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 21:49 | 0.23 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.35 | 43.5% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.07 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:38 | 0.03 | 52.8% | +16.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.61 | 57.8% | +24.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 18:46 | 1.16 | 59.1% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.02 | 55.0% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:10 | 0.43 | 41.9% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.33 | 51.6% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.10 | 35.3% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 34.8% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.29 | 45.7% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.09 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.01 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.06 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:42 | 0.25 | 97.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 3.33 | +0.3 | 59:35 |