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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 31, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Winnipeg Jets 1, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 73% of the time.

DET winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Connor–VilardiToews–Iafallo–PerfettiLowry–Pearson–BarronNyquist–Niederreiter–NamestnikovLowry–Pearson–ConnorNiederreiter–Namestnikov–VilardiSchenn–StanleyDeMelo–SambergDeMelo–MorrisseyMorrissey–PionkSamberg–PionkStanley–PionkStanley–SambergSchenn–DeMeloSchenn–Samberg
Larkin–Raymond–Finnie10:210.31–0.190:520.00–0.003:280.17–0.205:410.13–0.100:360.00–0.000:590.01–0.00
Kane–Copp–DeBrincat5:520.18–0.243:200.06–0.150:330.05–0.303:230.00–0.323:260.10–0.300:460.00–0.011:410.18–0.050:430.08–0.000:580.01–0.02
Compher–Appleton–Rasmussen1:060.04–0.016:540.30–0.220:350.00–0.052:040.16–0.042:540.00–0.091:380.00–0.181:410.04–0.010:340.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Kasper–Danielson3:330.00–0.122:420.00–0.124:090.01–0.021:050.00–0.100:430.00–0.120:330.00–0.00
Seider–Edvinsson9:520.35–0.200:410.00–0.062:290.00–0.003:050.00–0.050:370.00–0.002:500.00–0.063:000.00–0.053:580.17–0.205:320.13–0.101:050.04–0.010:560.08–0.000:330.00–0.001:010.01–0.00
Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka0:380.00–0.002:420.02–0.083:270.31–0.221:590.06–0.154:590.16–0.272:110.10–0.301:270.00–0.180:470.02–0.00
Bernard-Docker–Johansson0:380.13–0.005:290.16–0.231:090.00–0.001:240.00–0.122:050.00–0.062:110.00–0.101:200.06–0.122:410.16–0.050:420.00–0.02
Chiarot–Johansson1:090.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:560.00–0.040:390.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Chiarot–Edvinsson0:470.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3Endvan Riemsdyk FDanielson FKasper FAppleton FRasmussen FCompher FRaymond FLarkin FFinnie FCopp FKane FDeBrincat FJohansson DBernard-Docker DEdvinsson DSeider DChiarot DSandin-Pellikka DGibson GNamestnikov FNyquist FNiederreiter FLowry FBarron FPearson FScheifele FVilardi FConnor FPerfetti FIafallo FToews FDeMelo DMorrissey DPionk DSamberg DSchenn DStanley DHellebuyck G
DETWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2827:481:002:1012
Simon EdvinssonDET2926:480:551:4104
Josh MorrisseyWPG2623:430:552:2861
Mark ScheifeleWPG2423:360:592:2840
Kyle ConnorWPG2323:081:002:2851
Neal PionkWPG2722:060:492:3634
Gabriel VilardiWPG2222:051:002:2831
Dylan DeMeloWPG2520:530:501:2532
Dylan LarkinDET2620:260:471:2733
Ben ChiarotDET2420:010:501:3562
Dylan SambergWPG2419:440:491:4435
Lucas RaymondDET2417:330:441:2633
Albert JohanssonDET2416:520:421:2424
Andrew CoppDET2116:400:481:3413
Patrick KaneDET2016:310:501:2332
Gustav NyquistWPG1716:110:572:1450
Emmitt FinnieDET2116:100:461:1912
J.T. CompherDET2316:020:421:3454
Alex DeBrincatDET1915:570:501:2532
Logan StanleyWPG1815:340:521:5714
Michael RasmussenDET2114:370:421:1753
Luke SchennWPG1814:120:471:2815
Cole PerfettiWPG1814:060:471:3211
Mason AppletonDET2014:050:421:3051
Jonathan ToewsWPG1613:090:491:3021
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET1912:540:411:3414
Adam LowryWPG1912:190:391:1907
Alex IafalloWPG1612:150:461:1813
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET1612:100:461:1850
Nino NiederreiterWPG1511:410:471:1611
Morgan BarronWPG1811:310:380:5809
Tanner PearsonWPG1610:440:401:1706
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG1610:210:391:0211
Marco KasperDET1610:080:380:5521
James van RiemsdykDET149:500:421:0811
Nate DanielsonDET159:280:381:1021