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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 1, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Detroit Red Wings 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 51% of the time.

PIT winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #530000126:100.0221.1%0.0
Dylan LarkinC · #71011−1023:320.246.1%+44.7
Simon EdvinssonD · #77011−2322:240.0928.3%+12.6
Lucas RaymondLW · #23011−1221:580.256.1%+44.7
Ben ChiarotD · #8011−1019:540.0025.0%+20.5
Emmitt FinnieC · #58000−2117:210.3337.1%0.0
Alex DeBrincatRW · #931010317:080.3456.4%+44.7
Andrew CoppC · #18101+1216:460.2360.8%+20.5
J.T. CompherLW · #37000−1116:410.1637.1%0.0
Patrick KaneRW · #88011+1415:410.1960.6%+20.5
Michael RasmussenC · #27000−1615:390.1431.2%0.0
Albert JohanssonD · #200000215:120.0445.3%0.0
Mason AppletonC · #22000−1015:020.0036.2%0.0
Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #440000012:430.0845.4%0.0
Nate DanielsonC · #290000011:440.0038.4%0.0
Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #250000011:400.0145.1%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #211010210:010.3239.9%+12.6
Marco KasperC · #92011009:060.0017.7%+12.6
Cam Talbot#39O31274.8712.38−1.660:46

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #650220122:340.1459.7%+54.9
Kris LetangD · #58101+1222:160.2991.9%+50.9
Bryan RustRW · #17011+2220:560.3790.5%+50.9
Brett KulakD · #770000320:080.0189.3%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #280110119:230.0563.0%+44.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #87213+2418:270.1680.9%+73.6
Rickard RakellRW · #67000+1418:100.3982.8%0.0
Ryan SheaD · #5000+1017:210.0037.5%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #55000+1216:270.1051.6%0.0
Connor DewarC · #19000+1216:020.1049.3%0.0
Jack St. IvanyD · #3000+1115:470.0042.3%0.0
Blake LizotteC · #46101+1114:290.1261.3%+44.0
Ben KindelC · #81000−1113:070.0412.7%0.0
Anthony ManthaRW · #390110111:420.0289.5%+10.8
Justin BrazeauRW · #160000311:070.4784.6%0.0
Egor ChinakhovRW · #59000−1111:060.0223.1%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #180000210:530.0885.2%0.0
Rutger McGroartyRW · #2000−108:440.0015.3%0.0
Arturs Silovs#37W27243.8892.42−0.660:58