Sat, Jan 3, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Detroit Red Wings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 87% of the time.
82%
DET winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.07 | 62.4% | +0.3 |
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.10 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
 Brett KulakD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.18 | 59.4% | +5.6 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 19:02 | 1.02 | 80.0% | +5.6 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 18:56 | 0.60 | 77.5% | +14.8 |
 Parker WotherspoonD · #28 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.03 | 76.9% | +29.2 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.05 | 85.9% | +20.4 |
 Jack St. IvanyD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.16 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 59.1% | +0.3 |
 Connor DewarC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:40 | 0.53 | 55.0% | +0.3 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.14 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:43 | 0.22 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Ben KindelC · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 36.4% | +14.4 |
 Tommy NovakC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.05 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Justin BrazeauRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.23 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
 Egor ChinakhovRW · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:26 | 0.19 | 53.5% | +14.4 |
 Rutger McGroartyRW · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.04 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Stuart Skinner#74 | W | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 1.33 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 26:59 | 0.03 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.17 | 13.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.17 | 43.9% | +16.3 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.04 | 13.8% | 0.0 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.03 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.22 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.20 | 43.9% | 0.0 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.05 | 56.8% | 0.0 |
 Emmitt FinnieC · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.03 | 24.7% | 0.0 |
 Mason AppletonC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.02 | 31.4% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.03 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 59.9% | 0.0 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.04 | 24.0% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Nate DanielsonC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.03 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.26 | 54.1% | 0.0 |
 John Gibson#36 | L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.45 | +0.4 | 58:16 |