Sat, Jan 3, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Winnipeg Jets 2, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.
41%
9%
10%
39%
OTT winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 26:05 | 0.00 | 71.0% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:44 | 0.06 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:29 | 0.50 | 68.4% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.03 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.25 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.08 | 76.9% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.28 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.41 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.07 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.14 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.16 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.40 | 64.3% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.01 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.04 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.01 | 2.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:20 | 0.05 | 26.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.35 | −1.6 | 57:21 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27:56 | 0.00 | 24.0% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.11 | 36.0% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.41 | 36.3% | +14.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.12 | 49.9% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.03 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:42 | 0.23 | 28.9% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.29 | 43.2% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.29 | 50.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.13 | 31.7% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.04 | 46.1% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.24 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:18 | 0.11 | 50.8% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.13 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.40 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.00 | 84.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 0.02 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.04 | 96.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.50 | +0.5 | 60:00 |