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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 3, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Winnipeg Jets 2, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.

OTT winsWPG wins

Winnipeg Jets

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Josh MorrisseyD · #44011+1026:050.0071.0%+11.6
Neal PionkD · #4000+1324:440.0632.9%0.0
Kyle ConnorLW · #811120222:290.5068.4%+27.5
Dylan SambergD · #54000+1120:510.0344.2%0.0
Mark ScheifeleC · #55000−1320:340.2568.4%0.0
Dylan DeMeloD · #2011+1018:150.0876.9%+11.6
Gabriel VilardiC · #13000−1218:040.2858.2%0.0
Alex IafalloLW · #90000217:280.4177.4%0.0
Morgan BarronC · #360000115:350.0761.0%0.0
Jonathan ToewsC · #190000015:240.1448.8%0.0
Nino NiederreiterRW · #620000115:170.0253.6%0.0
Cole PerfettiC · #910000214:340.1668.2%0.0
Adam LowryC · #17101+1214:130.4064.3%+15.9
Logan StanleyD · #64000−2012:330.0124.8%0.0
Colin MillerD · #6000−2110:290.0436.5%0.0
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #7000009:210.003.8%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #45000018:460.012.0%0.0
Tanner PearsonLW · #70000028:200.0526.7%0.0
Connor Hellebuyck#37L27234.8522.35−1.657:21

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake SandersonD · #850110027:560.0024.0%+9.3
Shane PintoC · #12011+1121:220.1136.0%+9.3
Tim StützleC · #18011−1320:490.4136.3%+14.3
Thomas ChabotD · #722020220:300.1249.9%+39.1
Artem ZubD · #2000+1219:480.0327.6%0.0
Claude GirouxRW · #281010318:420.2328.9%+9.3
Dylan CozensC · #24011−1218:260.2943.2%+14.3
Drake BathersonRW · #19101−1318:000.2950.4%+14.3
Ridly GreigC · #71011+1216:230.1331.7%+22.8
Nick JensenD · #30110116:090.0446.1%+22.8
Tyler KlevenD · #430000215:480.2475.0%0.0
Brady TkachukLW · #7011−1314:180.1150.8%+16.3
Michael AmadioRW · #22000+1013:330.1335.3%0.0
David PerronLW · #570000111:240.4076.5%0.0
Jordan SpenceD · #100000010:460.0084.9%0.0
Nick CousinsC · #210000210:100.0270.1%0.0
Fabian ZetterlundLW · #200000010:030.0018.9%0.0
Stephen HallidayC · #83000007:530.0496.9%0.0
Leevi Meriläinen#1W23212.9132.50+0.560:00